Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
16%chance▼ 6
Install
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
The odds
<1%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 20, <1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $57.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth
Search ›-
Pete Hegseth’s Exit OptionDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth “has been angling for Sen. Marsha Blackburn to appoint him to her Senate seat, if she becomes Tennessee governor, sparing him a potential impeachment trial,” Puck reports. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth “has… -
Sen. Adam Schiff says Pete Hegseth should testify on Starlink slowdown in UkraineSen. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., said in an interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth should testify before the Senate on the Starlink satellite limitations that disrupted Ukrainian military operations, if… -
Pentagon Responds To Rumors That Pete Hegseth May Seek U.S. Senate AppointmentThe Pentagon addressed rumors that Secretary of War Pete Hegseth is eyeing Sen. Marsha Blackburn’s seat if she becomes Tennessee governor. According to Puck, Hegseth may attempt to convince Blackburn to appoint him to the seat. Blackburn… -
Pete Hegseth Reportedly Angling For Blackburn's Senate Seat To Avoid ImpeachmentThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. The defense secretary might try an intriguing escape route, according to Puck. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is… - Pete Hegseth eyeing Senate seat as impeachment threat looms: reportDefense Secretary could seek to succeed Marsha Blackburn in Tennessee rather than wait to be forced out of the Pentagon by congressional Democrats or President Donald Trump, it is claimed Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is reportedly…
-
Chris Gallant on "wholly unqualified" Pete Hegseth & why he's going to flip a red district... regardless of those photos - QueertyThere is an irony to Chris Gallant. But that’s not why he ran for office. After a lifetime of high-pressure work and public service, Gallant ran for a less provocative reason: to make life more affordable for people in his district. And… -
Rep. Crow: ‘My Priority Number One’ Is Ousting Pete HegsethOn Sunday’s broadcast of CBS’s “Face the Nation,” Rep. Jason Crow (D-CO) said “priority number one if we retake the majority, to make sure we oust” Secretary of War Pete Hegseth. Partial transcript as follows: MARGARET BRENNAN: I want to… -
If Democrats win big, will they learn the right lessons from their victory?No election outcome ever interprets itself. So how will Democrats interpret these results once they are known? Whichever metaphor one prefers – landslide, earthquake, wave – it seems increasingly like the Democrats can expect a significant… -
U.S. military boards go rogue to defy Pete Hegseth’s ban on transgender troopsBy Jillian Butler, Daily Caller News Foundation Military boards are disobeying Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s ban on openly transgender-identifying service members in the U.S. Armed Forces. Directly after this executive order, the… - Pete Hegseth’s Tough-Guy Image Takes a Hit as His Power Play Backfires and Rubio Shows Who’s BossPete Hegseth is determined to do things his way and leave his mark on military history as Defense Secretary. But somehow he keeps embarrassing himself and President Donald Trump’s administration to the point that many now question his…
- Barack Obama mocks Pete Hegseth's focus on 'jawlines and testosterone' during Ohio campaign stopWASHINGTON, DC: Former President Barack Obama aimed Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth during a campaign appearance in Cleveland, Ohio, Saturday, poking fun at what he called Hegseth’s emphasis on the physical appearance and testosterone…
Related markets
All politics ›Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
31%chance▲ 3
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Blue wave in 2026?
85%chance▲ 3
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
97%chance▼ 1
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
31%December 31
- October 313%▼ 13
- December 3131%▼ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions