María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
The odds
>99%Mississippi
- Mississippi>99%▲ 2
- Kansas97%▼ 2
- Minnesota62%▼ 14
- Indiana47%▲ 11
- Missouri43%▲ 9
- Louisiana42%▼ 9
- Wyoming41%▲ 6
- Washington37%▲ 1
- Utah37%▼ 6
- Colorado36%▲ 4
- Massachusetts34%▼ 2
- West Virginia31%▼ 7
9 more
- New Hampshire30%▼ 11
- Arkansas27%▼ 2
- New Mexico27%▼ 11
- Idaho25%▲ 1
- Maine25%▲ 5
- Oregon20%▲ 7
- Vermont19%▲ 8
- Rhode Island17%▼ 2
- Hawaii12%
How the odds have moved
Mississippi: 39% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETMississippi: 38% → 95%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Alabama | >99% | ▲ 3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.4K | |
| ✓ Alaska | >99% | ▲ 25 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $56.6K | |
| ✓ Arizona | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $86.2K | |
| ✓ California | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | $5K | ||
| ✓ Connecticut | >99% | ▲ 4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $465 | |
| ✓ Delaware | >99% | ▼ 2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | ||
| ✓ Florida | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $43.6K | ||
| ✓ Georgia | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2.8K | ||
| ✓ Illinois | >99% | ▲ 5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $4K | |
| ✓ Iowa | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3.3K | ||
| ✓ Kentucky | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | ||
| ✓ Maryland | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $8.6K | ||
| ✓ Michigan | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2.2K | |
| ✓ Montana | >99% | ▲ 4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $406 | |
| ✓ Nebraska | >99% | ▲ 24 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $839 | |
| ✓ Nevada | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.3K | |
| ✓ New Jersey | >99% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $5.6K | |
| ✓ New York | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3.2K | ||
| ✓ North Carolina | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2.7K | |
| ✓ North Dakota | >99% | ▲ 2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $15.4K | |
| ✓ Ohio | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | |||
| ✓ Oklahoma | >99% | ▲ 3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $589 | |
| ✓ Pennsylvania | >99% | 98¢ | 100¢ | $1.4K | ||
| ✓ South Carolina | >99% | ▲ 3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.9K | |
| ✓ South Dakota | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $8.6K | ||
| ✓ Tennessee | >99% | ▲ 18 | 100¢ | 100¢ | ||
| ✓ Texas | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $4.3K | ||
| ✓ Virginia | >99% | ▲ 13 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $6.5K | |
| ✓ Wisconsin | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | $598 | ||
| Mississippi | >99% | ▲ 2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $8.2K | |
| Kansas | 97% | ▼ 2 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $1.4K | |
| Minnesota | 62% | ▼ 14 | 54¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | $3K |
| Indiana | 47% | ▲ 11 | 25¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | $87 |
| Missouri | 43% | ▲ 9 | 24¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | |
| Louisiana | 42% | ▼ 9 | 26¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | $278 |
| Wyoming | 41% | ▲ 6 | 25¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | $3.3K |
| Washington | 37% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | $4.1K |
| Utah | 37% | ▼ 6 | 11¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | $603 |
| Colorado | 36% | ▲ 4 | 26¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | $99 |
| Massachusetts | 34% | ▼ 2 | 17¢ | 51¢ | $1.96 | $201 |
| West Virginia | 31% | ▼ 7 | 20¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | $101 |
| New Hampshire | 30% | ▼ 11 | 23¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | $11.4K |
| Arkansas | 27% | ▼ 2 | 13¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | $387 |
| New Mexico | 27% | ▼ 11 | 23¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | $3.5K |
| Idaho | 25% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | $3.4K |
| Maine | 25% | ▲ 5 | 12¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | $578 |
| Oregon | 20% | ▲ 7 | 12¢ | 27¢ | $3.68 | $20.3K |
| Vermont | 19% | ▲ 8 | 10¢ | 28¢ | $3.55 | $5.1K |
| Rhode Island | 17% | ▼ 2 | 9¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | $126 |
| Hawaii | 12% | 7¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | $736 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
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Donald Trump and Nicki Minaj’s Relationship in PhotosOct 26, 2026 at 08:31 AM EDT Rapper Nicki Minaj joined Donald Trump aboard Air Force One and appeared alongside him at a Michigan Rally on Sunday October 25, marking her latest public show of support for the president as Republicans… -
Donald Trump has been a disaster for rural AmericaThe president’s policies have taken such a toll on farmers that Republicans face trouble in deep-red states Donald Trump’s policies have been a disaster for the nation’s farmers, so much so that a near electoral miracle may soon happen… -
Donald Trump Posts 1,300+ Word Diatribe About "Loser" Bill MaherDonald Trump posted more than 1,300 words slamming Bill Maher, just nine days after praising the “great ” dinner at the White House with the Real Time host. In his Trump Social post, Trump called Maher a “pothead” and said he “looked like… -
Donald Trump Compliments Nicki Minaj’s Body at Michigan RallyOct 25, 2026 at 04:53 PM EDT President Donald Trump made an unexpected remark about rapper Nicki Minaj’s appearance during a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, on Sunday, briefly turning attention away from his midterm campaign message. After… -
The unlikely role model in endless Donald Trump, Gavin Newsom beefSomehow Zohran Mamdani can meet with President Donald Trump, but Gavin Newsom can’t — or won’t. Newsom’s office continues to make excuses for the governor’s refusal to work with the White House. In Newsom’s telling, it’s all Trump’s fault… -
Nicki Minaj pledges to support Donald Trump again during Michigan Republican campaign rallyRapper Nicki Minaj joins President Donald Trump onstage at a Michigan rally in the final stretch before the 2026 midterm elections. Rapper Nicki Minaj doubled down on her support for President Donald Trump during a Republican campaign… -
Donald Trump Attacks Bill Maher in Scathing, 1,318-Word Social Media Post: “Complete and Total Loser”The Truth Social post comes just days after the two had dinner at the White House. President Donald Trump is once again criticizing Bill Maher, host of HBO‘s Real Time With Bill Maher — only days after the two had what he previously… -
Barack Obama Slams Donald Trump, Pete Hegseth Over Iran WarOct 24, 2026 at 04:01 PM EDT Oct 24, 2026 at 04:08 PM EDT Former President Barack Obama criticized President Donald Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Saturday over the war with Iran, calling the administration “not serious… -
Map Shows Where Donald Trump Is Expanding a Joe Biden-Era Medicaid PolicyOct 23, 2026 at 04:45 PM EDT President Donald Trump's administration is expanding a Medicaid initiative developed during the Biden administration that allows states to provide certain health care services to incarcerated people shortly… -
Donald Trump Unveils Renovated Reflecting Pool With Anti-Vandal CamerasOct 23, 2026 at 07:51 AM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 07:52 AM EDT President Donald Trump said Friday that the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool is continuing to fill with water, declaring that the landmark is “looking really good” and will be… -
Donald Trump made serious inroads with Bronx residents. Here's why.Updated on: November 7, 2024 / 8:59 PM EST / CBS New York NEW YORK -- Democrats have watched their margin of victory shrink in New York City in three consecutive general elections. According to the CBS News data team, a 79.3% margin of… -
Donald Trump Raises BIG Questions About NFL Game Amid Paris UnrestPresident Donald Trump questions the NFL's plans to play in Paris as civil unrest raises concerns about safety and the league's international expansion. President Donald Trump is raising concerns about the NFL's decision to stage a game in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions