Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
September 30
<1%
▼ 3
0¢
$15.6K
October 31
2%
1¢
4¢
$27.03
$6.1K
November 30
5%
3¢
6¢
$16.95
$2.5K
December 31
50%
▲ 8
38¢
61¢
$1.64
$3.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
FDA Commissioner Marty Makary resignsmarkets.businessinsider.com · 26 h agoDr. Marty Makary, the commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration, resigned on Tuesday, according to multiple media reports citing administ... FDA Commissioner Marty Makary resigns Dr. Marty Makary, the commissioner of the Food and…
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. news - Today’s latest updatesCBS News · 3 days agoZach Lahn, the Republican candidate for governor in Iowa, told "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" that he believes the state's "farmers understand that for a long time they have been treated as price takers, and really the deck has…
Guest Column: Bill Cassidy should block FDA’s evasive nomineeThe Advocate · 4 days agoSen. Bill Cassidy, R-Baton Rouge, talks with Dr. Heidi Overton before her nomination hearing to become the commissioner of Food and Drug Administration at the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions (HELP) Committee on Capitol Hill…
FDA Launches New Accelerator for Alzheimer’s Disease PreventionEuropean Medical Journal · 42 h agoDiscover how the FDA's new accelerator advances Alzheimer's disease prevention trials and delays dementia cognitive decline. Read more. This site is intended for healthcare professionals FDA Launches New Accelerator for Alzheimer’s Disease…
FDA calls for lowering nicotine levels in cigarettes to non-addictive levelsUPI · 3 days agoJan. 15 (UPI) -- The U.S. Food and Drug Administration issued a proposed rule would limit the level of nicotine in cigarettes and certain other tobacco products if finalized, the agency said on Wednesday. The United States would become the…
FDA and HHS announce plans to phase out petroleum-based synthetic food dyes@nutritionalo · 3 days agoNutritional Outlook delivers news for manufacturers of dietary supplements, healthy foods, and nutritional beverages, from research to regulatory updates. In an April 22, 2025, press release, the Department of Health and Human Services…
Centre hijacking powers: Maharashtra FDA takes FSSAI to HC over food safety normsIndia Today · 4 days agoIn a major clash between the Centre and the state, Maharashtra’s Food and Drugs Administration (FDA) Commissioner has approached the Bombay High Court, accusing the Union government and the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India…
FDA issues warning letters to five unapproved GLP-1 websitespharmaphorum · 5 days agoThe home page for Peak Performance Peptides, one of the companies to receive an FDA letter. The US FDA issued similar warning letters to five different online peptide vendors on 24th August, giving the companies 15 days to respond to…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions