PolymarketCryptoCloses Jan 1, 2028 · $242 today · $38.5K traded · $5.3K at stake · prices read 88 min ago
The odds
Mar 29, 2027even chance by
by December 31, 202633%▼ 3
by March 31, 202751%▼ 4
by June 30, 202754%
by September 30, 202765%▲ 5
by December 31, 202765%▲ 7
How the odds have moved
by December 31, 2026: 38% on Oct 20, 33% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
by September 30, 2026
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$14.2K
by December 31, 2026
33%
▼ 3
31¢
34¢
$2.94
$10.9K
by March 31, 2027
51%
▼ 4
49¢
52¢
$1.92
$4.1K
by June 30, 2027
54%
53¢
54¢
$1.85
$2.9K
by September 30, 2027
65%
▲ 5
62¢
67¢
$1.49
$3.1K
by December 31, 2027
65%
▲ 7
64¢
67¢
$1.49
$3.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
$20M market orders on Hyperliquid drive papertrade price at launchCrypto Briefing · 41 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
Bitcoin, Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Zcash (ZEC) Price Ready to Bounce BackCoinpedia Fintech News · 47 h agoBitcoin, Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Zcash (ZEC) are showing potential recovery signals after a sharp crypto market sell-off reportedly erased $70 billion in market value over 10 hours. Crypto analyst Ali Charts has identified new buy signals…
Hyperliquid market orders of up to $20M moved Papertrade prices at launchCrypto Briefing · 41 h agoThe new synthetic perpetuals exchange offering 1,000x leverage saw its ETH quotes shift within hours, then tightened open-interest caps Papertrade opened for business on October 10, 2026, offering up to 1,000x leverage on Bitcoin and…
Hyperliquid founder says options are next build on its prediction marketsStartup Fortune · 2 days agoJeff Yan told TOKEN2049 he'd build options first if starting over, pointing to HIP-4's $6 million first-day volume and a 500,000 HYPE deployer stake as the infrastructure already in place to support it. Jeff Yan wants to turn the exchange…
Best Perp DEXes in 2026: Hyperliquid, Aster, Lighter, edgeX, and ApeX Omni ComparedCoinCentral · 46 h agoVolume tells you where the liquidity is, but it says little about whether a venue fits your trading. Six other dimensions matter at least as much: Sources: each venue’s official documentation and public API, plus DefiLlama, all accessed…
Hyperliquid’s Stock Perps Hit $201B—Zero Shares, All OnchainCrypto Economy · 32 h agoHome > flash news > Hyperliquid’s Stock Perps Hit $201B—Zero Shares, All Onchain According to data firm Dune, during Q3 2026, the notional volume traded in stock perpetual contracts, ETFs, and indices on Hyperliquid reached $201 billion…
Hyperliquid Urges CFTC to Embrace AI ComputeCryptoNews · 3 days agoCryptonews.net Hyperliquid Urges CFTC to Embrace AI Compute Hyperliquid is urging the CFTC to adopt AI compute standards for derivatives markets, leveraging support from Pyth Network’s multi-contributor price feeds. This move could…
PaperTrade tightens controls after manipulation attempts on Hyperliquid BBOCrypto Briefing · 3 days agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
Hyperliquid CEO Jeff Yan Proclaims Unique Market PositioningCryptoNews · 3 days agoCryptonews.net Hyperliquid CEO Jeff Yan Proclaims Unique Market Positioning Hyperliquid’s co-founder and CEO, Jeff Yan, recently stated that the platform has no competitors, a sentiment shared during an interview at TOKEN2049. This stance…
Pump.fun Perps on Hyperliquid: How the 0.10% Builder Fee WorksNullTX · 3 days agoAI-assisted summary, reviewed by NullTX editors. On a $10,000 Bitcoin perpetual order placed through Pump.fun, Pump.fun can charge up to $10. Hyperliquid, the exchange that actually matches and settles the trade, charges a standard taker…
NEAR adds cross margin to confidential perps powered by Hyperliquidcrypto.news · 37 h agoNEAR Protocol has rolled out cross-margin on its Hyperliquid-powered perpetuals platform, allowing trading positions to share a single perps balance while retaining what the project describes as confidential trading. NEAR Protocol…
Does Hyperliquid’s $2.5M fee lead have a $20M laundering problem?CryptoNews · 3 days agoHyperliquid [HYPE] is having a great run. But are darker times ahead? A new money laundering report has given Hyperliquid some very awkward publicity. This happened in tandem with perps knocking on regulators’ doors. Is Hyperliquid’s lead…
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2,547.
Reaches $2,50093%
Reaches $2,6001%
Falls to $2,30016%
Falls to $2,2003%
Already reached: ↓ 2,400
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.