The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
<2
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.4K
2
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$2.4K
3
1%
1¢
1¢
$3.1K
4
7%
▲ 1
6¢
8¢
$12.50
$8.3K
5
15%
▲ 1
12¢
17¢
$5.88
$5.4K
6
36%
▼ 1
34¢
37¢
$2.70
$7.8K
7+
41%
▼ 1
33¢
47¢
$2.13
$8.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Discontent with Trump buoys Democrats in Ohio: ‘People are disgusted by the corruption’the Guardian · 28 h agoIn a reliably red state, candidates say dissatisfied voters tell them they’re planning to vote Democrat for the first time Democrat Kim McCarthy is canvassing in a middle-class Ohio neighborhood of four-bedroom, three-bathroom homes. There…
Ohio Venues Cancel Vivek Ramaswamy Events as Backlash GrowsNewsweek · 26 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 07:31 AM EDT Ohio venues are pulling out of hosting Republican campaign events featuring gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy, as backlash grows over his advert featuring his Democratic opponent Amy Acton's estranged…
Ohio's Biggest Newspaper Breaks Endorsement Policy To Slam Vivek RamaswamyNewsweek · 27 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 03:46 AM EDT Ohio's largest newspaper has reversed its policy against endorsing candidates in major races to back Democrat Amy Acton for governor, condemning Republican Vivek Ramaswamy for his campaign advert featuring…
Jeffries: Democrats "on the verge of taking back control" of the Housecnn.com · 2 days agoCNN's Manu Raju hits the campaign trail in California with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who could be just months away from becoming the first Black speaker of the House of Representatives. While confident, Jeffries is also…
Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midtermsFox News · 43 h agoFox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on the closely watched Ohio Senate and governor races ahead of the midterm elections. Ohio Senate and governor races tighten ahead of midterms Fox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on…
Lula’s win is a blow for the Trump White Housesemafor.com · 28 h agoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s reelection could reshape geopolitics for years to come. Challenger Flávio Bolsonaro vowed to pursue closer ties with the Trump administration if elected and had looked set to confirm a regional conservative…
Ohio Democrats Catch a Rare Break as Voters Turn on Trumpenmnews.com · 27 h agoIn a state Republicans have dominated for years, Democrats are seeing an opening they did not have in recent cycles, and it is showing up at front doors in places that have long leaned right. Kim McCarthy, a Democrat running for the Ohio…
Catholic Bishops Say White House Exploited Prayer With TrumpNewsweek · 38 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 03:56 AM EDT Two Catholic bishops have accused the White House of taking advantage of a meeting and prayer with U.S. President Donald Trump, saying the moment was "exploited" or "manipulated" less than two weeks before the…
Trump Unloads on Bill Maher in 1,300-Word Post After White House DinnerNewsweek · 33 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 10:07 PM EDT President Donald Trump launched a lengthy attack on comedian Bill Maher on Sunday, calling him a “complete and total loser” in a Truth Social post and telling him not to seek another meeting after previously…
Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio, UtahFox News · 47 h agoCongressional candidates Michael LiPetri, Eric Conroy and Riley Owen join 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss generational change in Congress as elections approach. Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions