How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 3 · $729 today · $26.1K traded · $4K at stake · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

10.2median
6.5012.5
Median 10.2Middle half 9.40 – 10.9

How the odds have moved

Median: 10.2 on Oct 20, 10.2 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
<7 1% 0¢ 1¢ $878
7 2% 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 $5K
8 4% ▼ 1 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 $2.3K
9 20% ▲ 1 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 $3.9K
10 34% ▲ 1 33¢ 36¢ $2.78 $5.3K
11 35% ▲ 1 35¢ 36¢ $2.78 $7.8K
12+ 4% ▼ 1 4¢ 5¢ $20.41 $1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: House, Pennsylvania

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  • Democrats see an opportunity to tilt Pennsylvania's state legislature their wayNPR · 2 days agoStatehouse elections this fall could swing the balance of power in state capitals. In Pennsylvania, Democrats could take control of what has been a divided legislature. Democrats see an opportunity to tilt Pennsylvania's state legislature…
  • Democrats Have Edge in Four Pennsylvania House RacesPolitical Wire · 2 days ago“Democrats trying to unseat Republicans in four battleground Pennsylvania House districts are ahead in two of them, hold a narrow edge in a third and are tied in a fourth,” the New York Times reports. “The four seats in Pennsylvania are…
  • Jeffries: Democrats "on the verge of taking back control" of the Housecnn.com · 2 days agoCNN's Manu Raju hits the campaign trail in California with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who could be just months away from becoming the first Black speaker of the House of Representatives. While confident, Jeffries is also…
  • Democrats Gain Early Grip in Pennsylvania House Battlesenmnews.com · 2 days agoNew polling in Pennsylvania points to a competitive House map, but Democrats are sitting in the stronger position in all four races surveyed. The party leads in two contests, holds a slim advantage in a third and is locked in a tie in the…
  • New Pennsylvania law classifies 911 dispatchers as first respondersCBS News · 48 h agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. New…
  • White House official addresses inflation and tariff concernsFox News · 44 h agoNational Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett joins 'The Sunday Briefing' to discuss the impact of the administration's economic policies, inflation and tariffs. White House official addresses inflation and tariff concerns National…
  • Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovationsFox News · 2 days agoFormer President Barack Obama mocked President Donald Trump's White House renovations during a campaign rally for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovations Former President Barack Obama mocked President Donald…
  • Trump Unloads on Bill Maher in 1,300-Word Post After White House DinnerNewsweek · 34 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 10:07 PM EDT President Donald Trump launched a lengthy attack on comedian Bill Maher on Sunday, calling him a “complete and total loser” in a Truth Social post and telling him not to seek another meeting after previously…
  • White House official quips Nicki Minaj could be new press secretarycnn.com · 42 h agoWhite House communications director Steven Cheung posted a video of himself and rapper Nicki Minaj chatting on Air Force One, with captions saying they “may have found” the new White House press secretary. They were both on their way to a…
  • Democrats Retreat From House Races They Hoped To FlipZeroHedge · 39 h agoLatest: Can The Gulf Be Rebuilt? History favors the party out of power in a midterm, but one problem has dogged the Democratic Party for months, and it's now undermining their plans to win as many seats as possible: money. With money being…
  • House Democrats eye Hegseth impeachment if they win midtermsCrypto Briefing · 41 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
  • Democrats retreat from key House races amid fundraising challengesCrypto Briefing · 39 h agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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