The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
<2
8%
6¢
10¢
$9.90
$1.2K
2
17%
▼ 1
16¢
18¢
$5.56
$2.2K
3
24%
▼ 16
11¢
36¢
$2.78
$2.6K
4
31%
▲ 1
30¢
31¢
$3.23
$5.3K
5+
19%
▲ 14
2¢
35¢
$2.87
$1.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Democrats on pace to regain control of U.S. HouseCBS News · 17 h agoAs President Trump and Vice President JD Vance travel across the country to make their closing arguments and turn out Republicans, Democrats are hoping to take control of the House thanks to concerns over the economy. Democrats on pace to…
Democrats on pace to flip the U.S. House in 2026 midterm electionsCBS News · 15 h agoCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Democrats…
Deer crashes through apartment window in Appleton, WisconsinCBS News · 16 h agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Deer crashes through…
House Democrats call on DOJ to name special counsel in Epstein caseNBC News · 23 h agoWASHINGTON — House Judiciary Committee Democrats are calling for an independent special counsel to investigate evidence of President Donald Trump’s alleged criminal ties to Jeffrey Epstein, according to a new report made public Monday…
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Minnesota House of Representatives - 2026 Election GuideCBS News · 18 h agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. October 26, 2026…
House Speaker Johnson: Polls are ‘grossly underestimating’ GOP enthusiasmFox News · 14 h agoHouse Speaker Mike Johnson discusses the battle for control of Congress ahead of the 2026 midterm elections and argues that polls are underestimating GOP enthusiasm on ‘The Ingraham Angle.’ ... House Speaker Johnson: Polls are ‘grossly…
House Republicans set leadership elections - Live Updates - POLITICOPOLITICO · 18 h agoNew GOP leaders will be chosen just one week after midterm Election Day. House Republicans will choose their leaders for the upcoming Congress on Nov 10, one week after Election Day, according to a schedule obtained by POLITICO A two-hour…
WATCH LIVE: Trump departs the White House for campaign rallyFox News · 20 h agoThe president is traveling to Mississippi to rally for the midterms. WATCH LIVE: Trump departs the White House for campaign rally The president is traveling to Mississippi to rally for the midterms.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions