The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
<3
3%
▲ 1
1¢
6¢
$16.67
$617
3
3%
▼ 1
2¢
4¢
$24.39
$615
4
63%
▼ 3
63¢
64¢
$1.56
$14.4K
5
26%
25¢
27¢
$3.70
$2.7K
6+
5%
▲ 1
3¢
8¢
$13.33
$968
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Minnesota House of Representatives - 2026 Election GuideCBS News · 18 h agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. October 26, 2026…
Democrats on pace to regain control of U.S. HouseCBS News · 17 h agoAs President Trump and Vice President JD Vance travel across the country to make their closing arguments and turn out Republicans, Democrats are hoping to take control of the House thanks to concerns over the economy. Democrats on pace to…
House Democrats call on DOJ to name special counsel in Epstein caseNBC News · 23 h agoWASHINGTON — House Judiciary Committee Democrats are calling for an independent special counsel to investigate evidence of President Donald Trump’s alleged criminal ties to Jeffrey Epstein, according to a new report made public Monday…
Are ads about candidates in the Minnesota attorney general race accurate?CBS News · 15 h agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Are ads about…
Minnesota Senate Race Shaken by ICE, Fraud and Ilhan Omar ProbeNewsweek · 15 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 03:13 PM EDT Republicans view the Minnesota Senate race as a potential pickup opportunity in the 2026 midterm elections, even as they face an increasingly difficult national environment in the final stretch of the campaign…
Minnesota Senate - 2026 Election GuideCBS News · 18 h agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. October 26, 2026…
Race for Minnesota House District 3A centers on wildfire relief, mining, affordability@northernnewsnow · 14 h agoDULUTH, Minn. (Northern News Now) - With Election Day just over a week away, the race for Minnesota House District 3A — the state’s largest House district by land area — could help decide control of the Capitol. The district covers all of…
Are Minnesota Democrats Turning on Ilhan Omar?redstate.com · 20 h agoThis is one of those times that the Germans invented the world "schadenfreude" for. The embattled Minnesota Democrat Congresswoman Ilhan Omar (MN-05) is feeling the heat of an ongoing investigation into her immigration status, while other…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions