Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Wed 11:59 PM ET · $1.1K today · $37.4K traded · $5.2K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

89%Scott Gillingham

Scott Gillingham89%▼ 2
Kevin Klein5%▲ 1
Michael Vogiatzakis4%▲ 4
Mazher Alam2%
Noah Redden2%▲ 1
Don Woodstock1%
Christopher Clacio<1%
Joshua Pagdato<1%
Umar Hayat<1%
Johnny Calderon<1%
Zachary Uminski<1%

How the odds have moved

Scott Gillingham: 82% on Oct 20, 89% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Scott Gillingham	89%	▼ 2	89¢	92¢	$1.09	$17.8K
Kevin Klein	5%	▲ 1	3¢	8¢	$11.90	$2.1K
Michael Vogiatzakis	4%	▲ 4	3¢	7¢	$15.15	$2.6K
Mazher Alam	2%		2¢	4¢	$28.57	$3.5K
Noah Redden	2%	▲ 1	2¢	3¢	$33.33	$2.2K
Don Woodstock	1%		1¢	2¢	$55.56	$5.5K
Christopher Clacio	<1%		0¢	0¢		$677
Joshua Pagdato	<1%			0¢		$592
Umar Hayat	<1%			0¢		$502
Johnny Calderon	<1%			0¢		$1.4K
Zachary Uminski	<1%			0¢		$556

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Winnipeg Mayoral, Scott Gillingham, Kevin Klein

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Grocery clerk running for Winnipeg mayor would raise property taxes 7.5 per centCTVNews · 7 days agoWinnipeg mayoral candidate Chris Clacio says he would raise property taxes by 7.5 per cent in his first year in office if elected. Winnipeg mayoral candidate Chris Clacio says he would raise property taxes by 7.5 per cent in his first year…
2026 U.S. midterms: Is a blue wave coming for Texas?Yahoo News Canada · 7 days agoEarly voting for the 2026 U.S. midterms is underway in Texas, where Democrats feel they could be on the cusp of a generational upset. Jackson Proskow looks at the signs of a blue wave potentially being on the horizon in the Lone Star…
Drought impacts truffle hunters in CroatiaYahoo News Canada · 7 days agoThe drought caused by a scorching summer has dramatically shrunk this year's truffle harvest in Croatia. Hunters who scour the oak forests near the capital Zagreb say the harvest is down by 30%. Nevertheless, they're out with their dogs…
From 'Get 'er done' to 'PLEASE make this work': The enduring legacy of the Sheegl era at Winnipeg's city hallCBC · 7 days agoForty-eight pages into the final report from the Winnipeg police headquarters inquiry, commissioner Garth Smorang draws attention to one of thousands of emails authored by Phil Sheegl during his ill-fated five years as a senior City of…
City responds to Winnipeg Police Service Headquarters Inquiry final reportCity of Winnipeg · 7 days agoWinnipeg, MB – Mayor Scott Gillingham and Joseph Dunford, the City of Winnipeg’s Chief Administrative Officer today responded to the report of the Winnipeg Police Service Headquarters Inquiry, committing to address the report…
Albertans support staying in Canada, oppose separation referendum, CTV News projects. Follow for live updates.CTVNews · 7 days agoThe majority of Albertans support staying in Canada rather than to pursue a referendum to separate from the rest of the country, CTV News projects. Follow for live updates. Albertans support staying in Canada, oppose separation referendum…
SQDC store in Laurentians robbed early MondayCTVNews · 7 days agoCTV News SQDC store in Laurentians robbed early Monday Man charged in connection with deadly hit-and-run in Vaughan, suspect vehicle still missing Where is Ontario resident Eli Wood? Mother promises ‘none of us are going to give up’ search…
Kevin Klein says $8M arena money misspent or missingKenora Miner & News · 9 days agoSupport local journalism - save The Winnipeg Sun as a Preferred Source WINNIPEG - Two north Winnipeg arenas will stay closed for the entire hockey season, and mayoral candidate Kevin Klein says Mayor Scott Gillingham’s handling of city…
Manitoba Hockey Hall of Fame member says City of Winnipeg offside to lock him out of office, arenaYahoo News Canada · 9 days agoA member of the Manitoba Hockey Hall of Fame says he's been locked out of his office at the Terry Sawchuk arena after speaking out about the City of Winnipeg "dragging their feet" over arena upgrades, which has now resulted in the arena…
Advocates planting the seed of a tree protection law in Winnipeg’s electionCityNews Winnipeg · 8 days agoPosted October 18, 2026 1:12 pm. The giants that Diane Poulin used to live among are all dead, but she’s hoping to protect the ones still left in Winnipeg. “I had five mature elm trees right in front of my house that leaned over the street…
Advocates hope protecting privately-owned Winnipeg trees could become election issueCBC · 8 days agoThe giants that Diane Poulin used to live among are all dead, but she's hoping to protect the ones still left in Winnipeg. "I had five mature elm trees right in front of my house that leaned over the street and formed a beautiful canopy…
Mayes blames Scott Gillingham rift for exit from councilWinnipeg Sun · 10 days agoMayes, who has represented St. Vital for 15 years, is not seeking re-election. Instead, he is running for a seat on the Louis Riel School Division board, a role he held in Brandon about 20 years ago. “It’s certainly not the usual course…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesOct 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$37.4K

Today$1.1K

This week$4K

At stake$5.2K

In the news1 headlines today, 26 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions