Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Jun 6, 2027 · $635 today · $96.6K traded · $18.8K at stake · prices read 34 min ago

The odds

76%Beatriz Mojica Morga
  • Beatriz Mojica Morga76%▼ 9
  • Manuel Añorve Baños5%▲ 1
  • Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña5%▲ 1
  • Esthela Damián Peralta5%▲ 1
  • Evodio Velázquez Aguirre1%
  • Carlos Reyes Torres1%▼ 3
  • Karen Castrejón Trujillo1%
  • Mario Moreno Arcos1%
  • Rubén Cayetano García1%
  • Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez1%
  • Gustavo Alarcón Herrera1%
  • Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz1%
16 more
  • Héctor Astudillo Flores1%
  • Rogelio Ortega Martínez<1%
  • Javier Saldaña Almazán<1%
  • Alberto López Rosas<1%
  • Guadalupe Eguiluz<1%
  • Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros<1%
  • Yesenia Galarza Castro<1%
  • Julián López Galeana<1%
  • Erika Lorena Lührs<1%
  • Abelina López Rodríguez<1%
  • Félix Salgado Macedonio<1%
  • Iván Hernández Díaz<1%
  • Genaro Vázquez Flores<1%
  • Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos<1%
  • Alejandro Bravo Abarca<1%
  • Eloy Salmerón Díaz<1%

How the odds have moved

Beatriz Mojica Morga: 88% on Oct 20, 76% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 26, 8 PM ETBeatriz Mojica Morga: 88% → 76%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Beatriz Mojica Morga 76% ▼ 9 72¢ 88¢ $1.14 $18.3K
Manuel Añorve Baños 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 10¢ $10.20 $3.6K
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 10¢ $10.53 $2.1K
Esthela Damián Peralta 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 8¢ $12.82 $32.9K
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 $2K
Carlos Reyes Torres 1% ▼ 3 0¢ 2¢ $55.56 $2.5K
Karen Castrejón Trujillo 1% 0¢ 2¢ $66.67 $2.6K
Mario Moreno Arcos 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $2.5K
Rubén Cayetano García 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $1.4K
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez 1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.3K
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $1.9K
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz 1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.9K
Héctor Astudillo Flores 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $1.5K
Rogelio Ortega Martínez <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.5K
Javier Saldaña Almazán <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.4K
Alberto López Rosas <1% 1¢ $1.5K
Guadalupe Eguiluz <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.8K
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros <1% 0¢ 0¢ $5.3K
Yesenia Galarza Castro <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.3K
Julián López Galeana <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.6K
Erika Lorena Lührs <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.5K
Abelina López Rodríguez <1% 0¢ $1.5K
Félix Salgado Macedonio <1% 0¢ $1.2K
Iván Hernández Díaz <1% 0¢ $817
Genaro Vázquez Flores <1% 0¢ $405
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos <1% 0¢ $604
Alejandro Bravo Abarca <1% 0¢ $1K
Eloy Salmerón Díaz <1% 0¢ $829

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Guerrero Governor, Beatriz Mojica Morga, Manuel Añorve Baños

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions