Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ Karoline Leavitt
>99%
▲ 80
100¢
100¢
$77.1K
✓ Tulsi Gabbard
>99%
▲ 40
100¢
100¢
$101K
✓ Pam Bondi
>99%
▼ 2
100¢
100¢
$365K
✓ Dan Bongino
>99%
▲ 16
100¢
100¢
$5.1K
✓ Lori Chavez-DeRemer
>99%
▲ 17
100¢
100¢
$7.1K
Susie Wiles
35%
▲ 1
32¢
37¢
$2.70
$66.4K
Dan Scavino
29%
4¢
53¢
$1.89
$137
Pete Hegseth
28%
▲ 5
26¢
30¢
$3.33
$142K
Kristi Noem
26%
▼ 2
21¢
32¢
$3.14
$99.5K
Markwayne Mullin
26%
▼ 2
14¢
37¢
$2.70
$2.9K
Tom Homan
22%
10¢
34¢
$2.94
$643
Russell Vought
19%
▼ 2
11¢
27¢
$3.70
$459
Howard Lutnick
13%
▼ 1
10¢
16¢
$6.25
$101K
Kash Patel
13%
▼ 4
10¢
16¢
$6.25
$311K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
12%
▼ 1
11¢
12¢
$8.33
$93.4K
Lee Zeldin
11%
▲ 3
8¢
14¢
$7.14
$34.6K
David Sacks
9%
▼ 1
6¢
13¢
$7.58
$10.2K
Stephen Miller
9%
▼ 1
4¢
14¢
$7.14
$6.7K
John Ratcliffe
9%
▼ 1
4¢
13¢
$7.69
$698
Scott Bessent
8%
4¢
11¢
$9.09
$14.6K
Marco Rubio
6%
▼ 1
4¢
8¢
$12.50
$24.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Politico Corrects Susie Wiles Story After Trump Official's ThreatDeadline · 4 days agoPolitico corrected a report from last week on the role that Donald Trump‘s Chief of Staff Susie Wiles played preceding the exit of Katie Zacharia as White House press secretary. But the media outlet’s attorney is warning the Trump…
Ainsley Earhardt and Sean Hannity marry at the same church where they got engagedFox News · 44 h agoFox News stars Ainsley Earhardt and Sean Hannity tied the knot on Saturday at the historic Church of Bethesda-by-the-Sea in Palm Beach, Florida, returning to the place where Hannity proposed over Christmas in 2024. Surrounded by their…
Politico Corrects Story On Susie Wiles After White House Threatens ‘Consequences’TV News Check · 4 days agoMark K. Miller began covering the television industry in 1975 when he joined Broadcasting magazine as an editorial assistant, becoming a staff writer. He moved to editing, becoming managing editor of the renamed Broadcasting & Cable in…
Trump White House lashes out as 'legal freak-out' reveals Susie Wiles dramaAlternet.org · 4 days agoWhite House chief of staff Susie Wiles attends a signing ceremony of an order on women's health, spearheaded by first lady Melania Trump, at the White House in Washington, DC, US, October 19, 2026. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque Political…
Don’t You Say There’s Susie Wiles Drama, Politico, Not Unless You Want Trouble!Wonkette · 4 days agoAxios reports on a letter received by Politico — talk about a game of follow the bouncing access journalism bootlicker, Jesus — from the White House Counsel that says it better retract its stories about big fuckin’ Susie Wiles drama…
Politico Fires Back at White House Threats, Corrects Susie Wiles StoryTheWrap · 4 days agoThe outlet’s lawyers reject accusations of deliberately misleading readers after the Trump administration demanded corrections to three reports Politico corrected a story about White House chief of staff Susie Wiles Wednesday while pushing…
White House 'legal freak out' exposes Stephen Miller play to oust Susie Wiles: analysisRaw Story · 4 days agoA White House legal threat to Politico suggests Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller is likely trying to oust Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, according to a new analysis. Independent journalist Marcy Wheeler laid out that case Thursday on her…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
