Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
12%
▼ 1
9¢
14¢
$7.14
$16K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Conservative Landslide in British Columbia Sends Warning to Mark CarneyNewsweek · 42 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT British Columbia has elected a Conservative government for the first time in 98 years in a landslide victory that could be a warning for Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney. The left-leaning New Democratic…
Trump weighs pardons after Slotkin's warning to young conservativesFox News · 2 days agoHeritage Foundation senior fellow Zack Smith discusses potential pardons for Trump administration staffers amid Sen. Elissa Slotkin’s warning to young conservatives. Trump weighs pardons after Slotkin's warning to young conservatives…
Conservative wave hits roadblock in Brazil as Lula holds off Bolsonaro challengeFox News · 38 h agoFlavio Bolsonaro joined supporters in Santa Barbara D'Oeste to lead a motorcade. Polls in Brazil show a tight presidential race with incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. (Video: Reuters.) Bolsonaro narrowly won the first round on Oct. 4…
How the conservative Supreme Court has rewritten the rules for the midtermsCNN · 46 h agoVoters will pick the winners of next month’s midterm elections, but it is the conservative Supreme Court that has set the rules. Long before early voting got underway to decide control of Congress, the court exerted an unusually profound…
Conservative Party leaders don’t foresee split with GOP over Blakeman campaignPOLITICO · 22 h agoThe Nassau County executive’s position on abortion threatens to alienate parts of the right. Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman launches his reelection campaign with a rally in Massapequa, Long Island, on Feb. 24, 2025. | Emily…
Brazil becomes next test for Latin America’s surging conservative movementFox News · 3 days agoFlavio Bolsonaro joined supporters in Santa Barbara D'Oeste to lead a motorcade. Polls in Brazil show a tight presidential race with incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva. (Video: Reuters.) Brazil's estimated 158 million voters could advance…
Rep Jim Jordan commends ‘common sense conservative’ running in tight Florida districtFox News · 3 days agoGOP congressional candidate Mike Beltran and Rep. Jim Jordan, R-Ohio, discuss Republican momentum in Florida’s 14th district on ‘Fox Report.’ ... Rep Jim Jordan commends ‘common sense conservative’ running in tight Florida district GOP…
Poilievre Tours Brantford’s Historic Hockey Stick Manufacturing PlantSSBCrack News · 2 days agoAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the…
Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservativeFox News · 4 days agoPennsylvania voter James Shafer explains why he went from a liberal Democrat to a conservative Republican on ‘America Reports.’ ... Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservative Pennsylvania voter James Shafer explains…
Abdul El-Sayed's Appeal to Black Voters Jumped on By ConservativesNewsweek · 4 days agoOct 23, 2026 at 11:48 AM EDT Several conservative accounts on X have criticized Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed as "pandering" to Black voters after he was seen ordering fried chicken while discussing his efforts to…
B.C. Conservatives sweep Surrey ridingsNarcity · 18 h agoThe B.C. Conservatives dominated the provincial election on Saturday night, winning 63 of the 93 seats in the legislative assembly. The landslide extended to Surrey, where the party won all 10 ridings including four seats held by the NDP…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
