How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $305K traded · $9.9K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

82.8median
11,000
Median 82.8Middle half 41.9 – 2,199

How the odds have moved

Median: 76.5 on Oct 20, 82.8 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
0 <1% ▼ 19 0¢ $44.4K
1-100 61% 53¢ 75¢ $1.34 $19.5K
1k-2.5k 18% ▲ 4 2¢ 36¢ $2.75 $11.6K
2.5k-5k 3% ▼ 6 1¢ 6¢ $17.24 $12.1K
5k-10k 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 $15.3K
10k-25k 1% 1¢ 2¢ $58.82 $119K
25k-100k 1% 0¢ 1¢ $13.8K
>100k 11% 5¢ 19¢ $5.26 $26.8K
101-1k 4% 4¢ 5¢ $19.23 $42K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: gold prices, gold, Gold Cards

Search ›

Who will be arrested before 2027?

22%James Comey
  • James Comey22%▲ 16
  • Mahmoud Khalil22%▼ 3
  • John Brennan22%▼ 2
21 more
  • Lee Jun-seok10%
  • Anthony Fauci8%▲ 1
  • Tom Homan8%▲ 1
  • James Clapper6%▲ 1
  • Candace Owens6%▲ 1
  • Lisa Cook6%▲ 1
  • Letitia James6%▲ 1
  • Susan Rice6%
  • Hillary Clinton5%▲ 4
  • Pam Bondi5%
  • Adam Schiff5%▲ 1
  • Benjamin Netanyahu4%
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Brandon Johnson4%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom3%▲ 1
  • Kash Patel2%
  • Loretta Lynch2%
  • Bill Clinton2%
  • John Kerry2%
  • Barack Obama2%
  • Joe Biden1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions