France declares state of emergency by...?
8%December 31
- October 211%
- October 312%▼ 1
- December 318%▼ 10
Install
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
The odds
2.06median
1.504.50
Median 2.06Middle half 1.78 – 2.34
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.06 on Oct 20, 2.06 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | <1% | 0¢ | $4.6K | |||
| 2 | 89% | 89¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | $147K | |
| 3 | 10% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $50K | |
| 4+ | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $15.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: UK Prime Ministers
Search ›-
Former UK Prime Minister Listed As 'Core Participant' In Grooming Gang InquiryLatest: Can The Gulf Be Rebuilt? Authored by Robert Spencer via PJ Media, Keir Starmer may have had the same fear. For five years, as the Muslim rape gangs marauded all over the country, from 2008 to 2013, Starmer was director of public… -
Lowry painting, a favourite among UK prime ministers over the past 60 years, to return to No. 10 Downing Street under Andy BurnhamLancashire Fair, Good Friday, Daisy Nook (1946) has been hung in 10 Downing Street under every UK premier from Harold Wilson to Keir Starmer. It was only absent under Tony Blair. The painting comes from the Government Art Collection (GAC)… -
UK Prime Minister, Omani Sultan Discuss Bilateral RelationsHome - UK Prime Minister, Omani Sultan Discuss Bilateral Relations Foreign Minister: HM’s Visit to UK Boosts Momentum of Strategic Partnership Oman and Russia Hold Third Strategic Dialogue Session Oman, United Kingdom Sign Two MoUs for… -
Video: LIVE: UK Prime Minister Burnham holds PMQsAbout LiveTube Ltd. 🌍 🚀 Welcome to LiveTube! We believe in the power of real-time content. Our platform allows users to broadcast their stories to the world, unfiltered and in real-time. We're passionate about providing a space where… -
UK Prime Minister Introduces Fine for Public Transit Passengers Who Don't Use HeadphonesThe new campaign proposes a £100 fine for the practice, which has been nicknamed "loudcasting" or "sodcasting" United Kingdom Prime Minister Andy Burnham has introduced a campaign instating a £100 fine for bus and rail passengers who play… -
UK PM asks Trump to ensure Ukraine has full access to StarlinkДолучайтеся до клубу УП! The office of UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham has said that he raised Ukraine's need for access to the Starlink satellite communications system during a conversation with US President Donald Trump. Source: the UK… -
Global stocks wobble as AI fears grow; retail sales in Great Britain fall in September as shoppers cut back - business liveConsumer confidence in the UK has fallen at the fastest rate outside the Covid pandemic since the 2016 Brexit vote as the escalating economic damage from the war in the Middle East hits Britain. With less than a week before John Healey’s… -
Ukraine says Starlink drone speeds are back above 400 km/hDefence minister Yevhenii Khmara said military monitoring shows the week-long Starshield speed cap on Ukrainian drones has lifted. Ukraine’s Starlink and Starshield links now work for drones flying faster than 400 km/h, Defence Minister… -
UK consumer confidence falls at fastest rate since Covid as cost of living bitesEconomic fallout from war in Middle East adds to pressures on consumers and on chancellor before budget Consumer confidence in the UK has fallen at the fastest rate outside the Covid pandemic since the 2016 Brexit vote as the escalating… -
-1024x683.jpg)
Reversing Brexit? PM Burnham Looks to BacktrackCan a “once-in-a-lifetime referendum” just be undone? Newly minted UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham has triggered alarm bells across the nation by suggesting — at least tacitly — that the Brexit referendum result be undone. What is still… -
Wales is fed up of empty words from Westminster. Andy Burnham has two chances to be differentBoris Johnson was in typically ebullient mood as he stood in front of his party's members in Llangollen in March 2020. He spoke of "repaying trust" in those who had voted for him. He promised to back an M4 relief road and "unblock the… -
Gasps as Prince William makes surprise appearance on Graham Norton ShowThe Prince of Wales has made a surprise appearance on the Graham Norton Show, as part of a special edition to mark the Earthshot Prize. During the episode, which airs on Friday, he joined Cate Blanchett, Robert Irwin and Hannah Waddingham…
Related markets
All europe ›Paris curfew announced by...?
>99%October 19
- October 19>99%▲ 99
- October 21>99%▲ 95
- October 24>99%▲ 90
1 more
- October 31>99%▲ 89
Curfew in a major French city by...?
>99%October 24
- October 24>99%▲ 69
- October 31>99%▲ 68
- November 15>99%▲ 63
1 more
- December 31>99%▲ 49
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
4%December 31
- October 311%
- November 151%
- December 314%▲ 1
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
40%December 31, 2027
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 30, 20262%
- December 31, 20267%
3 more
- March 31, 202712%
- June 30, 202731%
- December 31, 202740%
UK election called by...?
30%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 202614%▲ 4
- June 30, 202730%▲ 5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions