Tennessee Senate Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3 · $5.4K today · $111K traded · $53K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

96%Bill Hagerty (R)

Bill Hagerty (R)96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)4%

How the odds have moved

Bill Hagerty (R): 96% on Oct 20, 96% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Bill Hagerty (R)	96%		96¢	96¢	$1.04	$54.5K
Marquita Bradshaw (D)	4%		4¢	4¢	$24.39	$56.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Tennessee Senate

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Candidates give case for Tenn. Senate District 31 seat@WMCActionNews5 · 3 days agoThe race for Tennessee Senate District 31 features incumbent Republican Brent Taylor and Democratic challenger David Weatherspoon presenting contrasting backgrounds and platforms. MEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - The race for Tennessee Senate…
Williamson, Inc. is driving the conversation with transportation issues at Policy TalksWilliamson Herald · 3 days agoSPRING HILL — On Monday, Oct. 19, the Spring Hill Board of Mayor and Aldermen unanimously passed Resolution 26-302, to proceed with plans for an interlocal wastewater agreement with the City of Columbia. MURFREESBORO – For the first time…
Two polls, two different pictures of Tennessee governor's racejohnsoncitypress.com · 4 days agoJohnson City Press NASHVILLE Ã¢ÂÂ Two polls released Tuesday are showing vastly different results in who Tennesseans support for Tennessee's next governor The first, conducted by Republican-heavy pollster Spry Strategies, shows U.S…
Sen. Janice Bowling Pushes Back Against Possible Removal From Republican CaucusThunder Radio · 5 days agoState Sen. Janice Bowling of Tullahoma is pushing back against discussions about removing her from the Tennessee Senate Republican Caucus after she endorsed an independent candidate for governor. Bowling, who represents Coffee County and…
Tennessee GOP senator says ‘no basis’ to expel her from caucusYahoo News · 7 days agoA Tennessee Republican senator says the Senate GOP caucus has "no basis" to expel her for endorsing an independent gubernatorial candidate as a Senate speakership vote approaches. Sen. Janice Bowling, a 14-year lawmaker from Tullahoma…
Early Voting Kicks Off October 14Sumner County Source · 13 days agoTennessee voters will head to the polls this week for the November 3 State and Federal General Election. Here’s what you need to know. Primary elections will be held for Governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House, Tennessee Senate (odd-numbered…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 3, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$111K

Today$5.4K

This week$14K

At stake$53K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respec

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions