María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
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Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
The odds
11%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 6% on Oct 20, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | 8¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | $19.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Vance
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Fox News Channel's Jesse Watters to host town hall with Vice President JD Vance ahead of midtermsFox News Channel host Jesse Watters will moderate a town hall event with Vice President JD Vance on Thursday at 8 p.m. ET during "Jesse Watters Primetime." Fox News Channel will air a town hall event with Vice President JD Vance on… -
Governor Shapiro calls Vice President Vance 'pathetically weak' for defending Vivek Ramaswamy's ad of Amy Acton's mother.Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro criticizes Vice President Vance and Vivek Ramaswamy, the Republican candidate for governor of Ohio, for doubling down on an ad featuring his opponent's estranged mother. Governor Shapiro calls Vice… -
JD Vance Controlled the Debate — Until the EndThe Republican candidate was clearly better prepared. It’s a lesson for Democrats. Sen. JD Vance and Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz shake hands at the 2024 vice presidential debate on Tuesday in New York. | Angelina Katsanis/POLITICO Jeff… -
Trump, Vance headline separate rallies in Texas this weekWBZ News Weekend 11pm CBS News Chicago Weekends 10pm CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 8pm CBS News New York Weekend 11pm CBS News Philadelphia Weekend 11pm -
WATCH LIVE: Vance holds midterm campaign rally in Belgrade, MontanaVice President Vance speaks at a rally in Montana ahead of the midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: Vance holds midterm campaign rally in Belgrade, Montana Vice President Vance speaks at a rally in Montana ahead of the midterm elections. -
Vance Jokes About Trump Noticing ‘Physiques of Everybody’ at Montana RallyOct 26, 2026 at 03:44 PM EDT Vice President JD Vance joked about President Donald Trump’s recent focus on people’s physiques after GOP Representative Ryan Zinke complimented his blue eyes at an event in Belgrade, Montana. “We’re… -
Ashley Hinson Rips ‘Ridiculous’ Vance Attack on GOP Critics of Ramaswamy AdOct 25, 2026 at 03:08 PM EDT Oct 25, 2026 at 04:27 PM EDT Republican Iowa Senate candidate Ashley Hinson criticized Vice President JD Vance over his response to GOP criticism of Vivek Ramaswamy’s controversial campaign ad featuring the… -
JD Vance to hold midterm rally in Weatherford, Texas, amid tight Paxton-Talarico Senate raceOctober 25, 2026 / 9:05 PM CDT / CBS Texas Vice President JD Vance will headline a midterm rally in Weatherford, Texas, this Thursday, the Republican Party announced on Sunday. The rally will be held at JRJ Construction on SW Ric… -
Trump, Vance defend controversial Ramaswamy attack ad; Obama campaigns with Amy ActonCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Obama campaigns… -
Hurricane Vance intensifies rapidly off Mexico's Pacific CoastThis GOES-19 GeoColor satellite image provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and taken on Friday, Oct. 23, 2026, shows Hurricane Vance in the Pacific. Hurricane Vance rapidly strengthened into a Category 2… -
Vice President JD Vance to hold midterm rally in KinstonKINSTON, N.C. (WITN) - Vice President JD Vance is coming to Eastern Carolina this week for a midterm election rally. The Trump 47 Committee announced that Vance will be in Kinston on Wednesday. Details about where the rally will be held…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions