U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Polymarket World › The Americas Closes Dec 31 · $171 today · $202K traded · $2.2K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

6%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 3% on Oct 20, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yes 6% 4¢ 7¢ $13.70 $202K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Venezuela, Maduro, Machado

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Related markets

All the americas ›

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

80%Nicolás Maduro
  • Nicolás Maduro80%▲ 5
  • Delcy Rodríguez16%▼ 4
  • No Head of State2%
13 more
  • Edmundo González1%
  • María Corina Machado<1%▼ 1
  • Marco Rubio<1%
  • Jorge Rodríguez<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Frank Donovan<1%
  • Diosdado Cabello Rondón<1%
  • Dinorah Figuera<1%
  • Donald Trump<1%
  • Vladimir Padrino López<1%
  • Evan Pettus<1%
  • Dan Caine<1%
  • Richard Grenell<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions