US strike on Colombia by...?

Polymarket World › The Americas Closes Dec 31 · $278 today · $2.3M traded · $86.3K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

21%December 31
  • December 3121%

How the odds have moved

December 31: 22% on Oct 20, 21% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
January 31 <1% 0¢ $668K
March 31 <1% 0¢ $409K
December 31 21% 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 $1.2M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Colombia

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  • Former Colombian president accused of exploiting dozens of women for presidential partiesFox News · 15 h agoPresident Donald Trump said Colombian President Gustavo Petro should not feel relaxed after the U.S. operation in Venezuela, citing cocaine coming from Bogotá. Former Colombian President Gustavo Petro has been accused of trapping and…
  • Colombian man pleads guilty to federal drug and firearms trafficking chargesCBS News · 12 h agoOctober 26, 2026 / 4:08 PM PDT / CBS LA A Colombian man pleaded guilty to federal drug smuggling and firearms trafficking charges, including nearly 62 pounds of cocaine, in Los Angeles on Monday. The U.S. Attorney's Office in LA said Jorge…
  • NYC-born fitness influencer arrested in Colombia for arms traffickingNew York Post · 3 days agoA New York City-born content creator was arrested in Colombia and charged with weapons trafficking — after authorities trying to collect overdue rent discovered a cache of guns and drugs in her apartment, officials said. The National…
  • Colombia Stocks Fall 1.38% as Peso Firms | Colombia Market Report, Oct 26The Rio Times · 10 h agoColombia’s COLCAP index, the benchmark that tracks the country’s largest listed companies, closed Monday at 2,505.04, down 1.38% and at its lowest level in about a month. The drag came mainly from financial and public-utilities shares…
  • Colombia Moves to Charge Ex-Media ChiefThe Rio Times · 14 h agoMoving to Colombia 2026: the step-by-step checklist. This guide condensed into 2 printable pages with tick boxes and the key official links. Colombia ranks 6th of 14 with 51.9 points. Strongest pillar: military means (91); weakest…
  • Colombia Returns to Global Bond MarketThe Rio Times · 15 h agoColombia has launched its first dollar bond sale under its new president. The amount and the interest rate are not yet public. Colombia launched a new sale of dollar bonds on Monday, 26 October 2026. These Colombia global bonds are the…
  • Colombia Says Bombing Killed 10 RebelsThe Rio Times · 44 h agoColombia’s president says a military bombing in the southwestern department of Cauca killed 10 members of the ELN, a guerrilla group, including two of its commanders. The strike happened before dawn on Thursday, 22 October 2026, and the…
  • Demonstrations Across Colombia Target New President, US InterventionPopularResistance.Org · 32 h agoDe la Espriella had succeeded Gustavo Petro, president of Colombia’s only progressive government, ever. Petro accompanied marchers in Bogota, as did Senator Iván Cepeda, the defeated presidential candidate of the Historic Pact Party…
  • Colombian Band Bus Crash Kills 2 MusiciansThe Rio Times · 21 h agoA bus carrying the band of Kbeto Zuleta, a Colombian folk-music star, left a bridge in northern Colombia on Monday, killing two musicians. Kbeto Zuleta’s band was driving home to Valledupar after a Sunday night show when its bus left a…
  • Colombian police arrests President's son for money launderingLokmat Times · 25 h agoBogota [Colombia], July 30 : The son of Colombian President Gustavo Petro was arrested on the charges of money laundering and illicit enrichment, Al Jazeera reported. This arrest came as a part of the high-profile probe into the funds that…
  • Colombia’s EPM Restores 99% of Factory GasThe Rio Times · 27 h agoEPM says 99% of gas to its industrial users is back. The next two days are the test. EPM, the Medellín utility, said it restored 99% of gas to industrial users on its networks by midday Sunday, 25 October. Factories around the city had…
  • Colombia Becomes 47th Nation to Declare There’s No Right to AbortionLifeNews.com · 18 h agoThere is momentum within the pro-life and pro-family movement in high-level international politics — as I noted in an article regarding the reorganization of conservative forces in high-level politics during last month’s United Nations…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions