The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Google
>99%
▲ 2
100¢
100¢
$9.7K
DeepSeek
<1%
0¢
$1.5K
Tencent
<1%
0¢
$531
OpenAI
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$8.7K
Z.ai
<1%
0¢
$466
Xiaomi
<1%
0¢
$536
Nvidia
<1%
0¢
$728
Anthropic
<1%
0¢
$635
MiniMax
<1%
0¢
$581
Meta
<1%
0¢
$666
Qwen
<1%
0¢
$777
xAI
<1%
0¢
$610
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Anthropic token use on OpenRouter jumps about 3.5x as cheaper models landCrypto Briefing · 21 h agoOpenRouter data shows Anthropic's average daily token volume climbing sharply after its 5.5 model series rolled out with lower-priced tiers Developers have found a new favorite way to spend their compute budgets. According to OpenRouter…
OpenRouter's February 2026 Outages: How a Cold Cache Overwhelmed the DatabaseDEV Community · 2 days agoThe database was struggling. The API said the user didn't exist. That is the part of OpenRouter's February outages worth looking at closely. The reported failure involved cache connectivity and the database lookups behind API-key…
Discover Openrouter Fusion API: The New Frontier in LLM Integration!DEV Community · 5 days agoThis article provides a deep technical dive into the OpenRouter Fusion API, examining its core concepts, architectural design principles, and practical implications for developers. We will dissect its API endpoints, data structures, and…
Stripe’s €6bn OpenRouter Deal Fuels Irish M&A Surge [2026]Tech Insider · 11 days agoThe scale of the moment becomes clearer when the three headline transactions are placed side by side. Each one involves a different sector, a different structure, and a different kind of buyer, yet all three closed or were agreed within…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions