#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes today 12:00 PM ET · $801 today · $12.1K traded · $2K at stake · prices read 32 h ago

The odds

99%DeepSeek
  • DeepSeek99%
  • Tencent<1%
  • OpenAI<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%▼ 1
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Google<1%
  • Anthropic<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Meta<1%
  • Qwen<1%
  • xAI<1%

How the odds have moved

DeepSeek: 87% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
DeepSeek 99% 99¢ 100¢ $5.7K
Tencent <1% 0¢ $525
OpenAI <1% 0¢ $584
Z.ai <1% 0¢ $493
Xiaomi <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $466
Nvidia <1% 0¢ $605
Google <1% 0¢ $429
Anthropic <1% 0¢ $518
MiniMax <1% 0¢ $664
Meta <1% 0¢ $423
Qwen <1% 0¢ $286
xAI <1% 0¢ $1.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: OpenRouter

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%Google
  • Google89%▲ 3
  • Anthropic9%▼ 1
  • Meta<1%
18 more
  • OpenAI<1%▼ 1
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions