Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Reps sweep
37%
▼ 1
37¢
42¢
$2.38
$3.7K
Dems IA & KS, Reps NE
21%
▲ 4
21¢
34¢
$2.94
$3.5K
Dems IA & KS, Ind NE
16%
▲ 4
14¢
28¢
$3.57
$998
Dems IA, Reps KS, Ind NE
13%
▼ 1
13¢
20¢
$5.00
$701
Dems IA, Reps KS & NE
8%
▲ 6
1¢
20¢
$5.10
$549
Reps IA & KS, Ind NE
6%
▲ 4
1¢
15¢
$6.80
$484
Reps IA & NE, Dems KS
2%
0¢
6¢
$17.24
$391
Reps IA, Dems KS, Ind NE
2%
0¢
5¢
$20.41
$343
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
WATCH LIVE: VP Vance holds midterm rally in Topeka, KansasFox News · 17 h agoVance hits the campaign trail to boost GOP voter turnout with control of the House and Senate hanging in the balance. WATCH LIVE: VP Vance holds midterm rally in Topeka, Kansas Vance hits the campaign trail to boost GOP voter turnout with…
Iowa needs a ‘common-sense fighter,’ GOP US Senate nominee Ashley Hinson saysFox News · 12 h agoIowa GOP U.S. Senate nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson discusses her campaign and lays out her ‘Iowa First’ message to voters on ‘Hannity.’ ... Iowa needs a ‘common-sense fighter,’ GOP US Senate nominee Ashley Hinson says Iowa GOP U.S. Senate…
Hinson and Turek Distance Themselves From Their Parties in Bid to Win IowaNewsweek · 14 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 04:57 PM EDT Republican U.S. Representative Ashley Hinson and Democratic state Representative Josh Turek are leaning into bipartisan appeals in their campaigns for the U.S. Senate, casting themselves as advocates willing to…
WATCH LIVE: Ashley Hinson rallies supporters in Coralville, IowaFox News · 20 h agoSenate candidate Ashley Hinson speaks with voters during a campaign stop in Coralville, Iowa. WATCH LIVE: Ashley Hinson rallies supporters in Coralville, Iowa Senate candidate Ashley Hinson speaks with voters during a campaign stop in…
Data center group jumps into the Kansas governor’s race to boost RepublicansNBC News · 18 h agoBuilding the Future, a new pro-data center super PAC, is spending more than $1.5 million to back Kansas state Sen. Ty Masterson, a Republican, in the state’s battle for governor, a person familiar with the spending said Monday in details…
Iowa gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand weighs in on Alaska Senate ballot controversyFox News · 19 h agoDemocratic gubernatorial nominee Rob Sand discusses the dispute involving two Alaska Senate candidates who share the name Dan Sullivan during an exclusive interview with Fox News. Iowa gubernatorial candidate Rob Sand weighs in on Alaska…
Iowa politics: Meet the candidates for Iowa's 3rd Congressional DistrictKCCI · 13 h agoIowa’s 3rd Congressional District voters will decide whether to reelect Republican U.S. Rep. Zach Nunn or send Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott to Congress. Trone Garriott is a state senator, while Nunn is seeking a third term in the U.S…
Nebraska online sports betting battle intensifies ahead of Nov. 3 voteJournalStar.com · 5 h agoNebraskans will have the final say on Nov. 3 on whether to legalize and regulate online sports betting as advocates and opponents clash in the final days of the 2026 race. Initiative Measures 440 and 441 would together amend the Nebraska…
Vice President holds rally at Kansas born business@wibw · 10 h agoTOPEKA, Kan. (WIBW) - Vice president JD Vance shared words at a Bozeman, Montana rally Monday morning before departing for the sunflower state, another stop in the GOP midterm red blitz. This stop brings him just north of Topeka, to the…
Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District race could be one to watchYahoo News · 11 h agoLINCOLN — As the political environment has worsened for Republicans, Nebraska's 1st Congressional District is now viewed as more competitive than earlier in the cycle. Chris Backemeyer, the Democratic challenger, has stayed under the radar…
Huge 'silver dollar' snowflakes hit Nebraska, South DakotaYahoo News · 17 h agoGiant 'silver dollar' snowflakes fall in western Nebraska and South Dakota. What caused these massive snowflakes? TAIPEI, Oct 27 (Reuters) - Taiwan's defence minister on Tuesday said China was waging "cognitive warfare" after Beijing…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions