The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
<66%
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$1.9K
66-68%
3%
▲ 3
1¢
5¢
$20.41
$1.4K
68-70%
15%
▲ 9
7¢
25¢
$4.00
$2.9K
70-72%
13%
▼ 10
9¢
19¢
$5.26
$3.7K
72-74%
31%
▲ 21
23¢
45¢
$2.22
$4.1K
74%+
38%
▲ 5
40¢
44¢
$2.27
$7.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Israeli election outcome ‘makes no difference - Iran Foreign MinistryDaily Post Nigeria · 9 h agoIran’s Foreign Ministry has said the outcome of Israel’s legislative elections will not affect Tehran’s position, as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces a closely contested race. The ministry’s spokesman, Esmaeil Baqaei, made the…
US has plans for major Iran strikes if Trump choosesKWWL · 12 h agoUS President Donald Trump shakes hands with Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth in Sparrows Point, Maryland, on October 6. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks to his supporters on October 22 ahead of Israel's legislative…
Netanyahu says discussed overthrowing Iran's govt with Trumpchinadailyhk · 6 days agoJERUSALEM/TEHRAN/LONDON/DOHA – Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel was "committed" to overthrowing Iran's government and that he had discussed the goal with US President Donald Trump on Sunday. "We must complete the…
Overthrowing Iranian Regime Discussed With Trump: NetanyahuOdisha News · 6 days agoJerusalem: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Tuesday that Israel was “committed” to overthrowing Iran’s government and that he had discussed the goal with US President Donald Trump on Sunday. “We must complete the overthrow of…
Exploited, then deported: The migrant workers living in fear in IsraelThe New Arab · 7 days agoSyria, World Bank to set up fund for recovery and reconstruction Sultan of Oman begins state visit to Britain UK to fly RAF missions defending Saudi against Houthi attacks The hijab row, Israel, and cracks in Azerbaijan-Turkey ties How…
Lebanon to reject direct military co-ordination with Israel at Florida talksThe National · 7 days agoLebanon is rejecting US-backed proposals for its troops to co-ordinate directly with the Israeli army, officials said before talks resume in Florida on Tuesday. They said they expected limited progress before Israel's legislative elections…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions