Which party will win the House in 2026?
92%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party92%▼ 1
- Republican Party9%▲ 1
Install
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
The odds
22%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 11% on Oct 20, 22% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 22% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | $13.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Blue
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FDR made it a blue bastion – now it’s Trump’s stronghold in California. Is it forever lost?Shasta has embraced the Maga movement with gusto – can Democrats ever win back the rural, working-class voters they once relied upon? A crucial election was approaching and the country was desperate. Despite promises that economic… -
DAVID MARCUS: In blue Maine, nobody believes Susan Collins will lose until they see itMaine voters weigh in on Susan Collins' re-election bid against Troy Jackson, revealing why the longtime Republican senator's personal connections could prove decisive. There are two elements of the Senate race in Maine that truly stand… -
Blue Heartland Turns Hard RightFor much of the 20th century, Shasta County was the kind of place Democrats could count on. For much of the 20th century, Shasta County was the kind of place Democrats could count on. Franklin D Roosevelt won it by a huge margin in 1932… -
BREAKING: Delta North turns blue as Conservatives win ridingPublished 11:51 pm Saturday, October 24, 2026 Conservative Party of BC candidate Monica Mohan will be Delta North’s MLA. With all 70 polls reporting in, Mohan has a 13 per cent lead over BC NDP candidate Todd Schierling, bringing an end to… -
Blue State Surprise: Voters Could Ban Trans Athletes From Girls’ SportsNow, in two blue states, Colorado and Washington, there are ballot initiatives to ban this practice. Colorado and Washington are reliably Democratic states where elected officials have rejected moves to ban transgender women and girls from… -
Could Latino voter anger turn Texas blue? | CNN PoliticsPresident Trump made gains with Latino voters. But anger over immigration enforcement and high costs is fueling a desire for change. Could that shift flip Texas blue in the midterms? John King speaks with voters on the ground to find out… -
ELECTION NIGHT LIVE IN SURREY: Blue wave gains speed in SurreyPublished 10:11 pm Saturday, October 24, 2026 With 10 ridings in play, Surrey was the battleground everyone was watching tonight as David Eby’s BC NDP and Lorne Doerkson’s BC Conservatives fought it out in the hopes of forming government… -
Is a Democratic blue wave going to miss Florida … again?With less than two weeks before the Nov. 3 midterms, Democrats across the nation have plenty of reasons to feel optimistic. But Democrats in Florida are up against one of the country’s most formidable political machines. After nearly 30… -
’Big blue wave’ sweeps most provincial election ridings in the BC InteriorThe Conservative majority victory in the BC election was reflected in the results across the Southern Interior. All the ridings in the Thompson-Okanagan went blue, except for one which was too close to call and could go to a recount. Only… -
Turkey preparing legislative framework for ‘Blue Homeland’ maritime doctrineTurkey is preparing legislation for its “Blue Homeland” maritime doctrine across all seas bordering the country, with a particular focus on the Aegean and the Eastern Mediterranean. According to the Haberturk TV network, the ruling Justice…
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All president 2028 ›Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
65%Democrats Sweep
- Democrats Sweep65%
- R Senate, D House26%▲ 1
- Republicans Sweep7%
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- D Senate, R House1%
- Other<1%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
19%JD Vance
- JD Vance19%▼ 1
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Gavin Newsom12%▲ 1
51 more
- Jon Ossoff9%
- Marco Rubio9%
- Kamala Harris4%
- Josh Shapiro3%
- Ron DeSantis3%
- Pete Buttigieg3%
- Andy Beshear2%
- James Talarico2%
- Donald Trump2%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
- Tucker Carlson1%
- Mark Kelly1%
- Wes Moore1%
- Thomas Massie1%
- Raphael Warnock1%
- Ro Khanna1%
- JB Pritzker1%
- Ivanka Trump1%
- Donald Trump Jr.1%
- Ted Cruz1%
- Rahm Emanuel<1%
- Gretchen Whitmer<1%
- Michelle Obama<1%
- Jamie Dimon<1%
- Glenn Youngkin<1%
- Tulsi Gabbard<1%
- Greg Abbott<1%
- Elon Musk<1%
- Stephen Smith<1%
- Nikki Haley<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
- LeBron James<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
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- Eric Trump<1%
- Pete Hegseth<1%
- Jalen Brunson<1%
- Abigail Spanberger<1%
- Hakeem Jeffries<1%
- Elissa Slotkin<1%
- Adam Schiff<1%
- Josh Stein<1%
- Alex Padilla<1%
- Candace Owens<1%
- Tim Scott<1%
- Mike Johnson<1%
- Doug Burgum<1%
- Tom Cotton<1%
- John N. Kennedy<1%
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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
38%J.D. Vance
- J.D. Vance38%▼ 3
- Marco Rubio18%
- Ron DeSantis4%
40 more
- Tucker Carlson3%
- Ted Cruz2%
- Donald Trump2%
- Donald Trump Jr.2%
- Ivanka Trump2%
- Thomas Massie1%
- Brian Kemp1%
- Glenn Youngkin<1%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
- Josh Hawley<1%
- Rand Paul<1%
- Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
- Pete Hegseth<1%
- Tom Cotton<1%
- Greg Abbott<1%
- Katie Britt<1%
- Candace Owens<1%
- Eric Trump<1%
- Tulsi Gabbard<1%
- Nikki Haley<1%
- Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
- Byron Donalds<1%
- Elise Stefanik<1%
- Elon Musk<1%
- Kristi Noem<1%
- Mike Pence<1%
- Steve Bannon<1%
- Joe Kent<1%
- Tim Scott<1%
- Doug Burgum<1%
- John N. Kennedy<1%
- John McEntee<1%
- Matt Gaetz<1%
- John Thune<1%
- Tom Brady<1%
- Erika Kirk<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Mike Johnson<1%
- Rick Scott<1%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%▼ 1
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff15%▼ 1
50 more
- Kamala Harris6%
- Pete Buttigieg5%
- Josh Shapiro5%
- Andy Beshear3%
- James Talarico3%
- Mark Kelly2%
- Wes Moore2%
- Raphael Warnock2%
- Rahm Emanuel2%
- J.B. Pritzker1%
- Bernie Sanders1%
- Ro Khanna1%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
- Chelsea Clinton1%
- Cory Booker1%
- Michelle Obama1%
- Jon Stewart1%
- Gretchen Whitmer1%
- Roy Cooper<1%
- Chris Murphy<1%
- Ruben Gallego<1%
- Mark Cuban<1%
- Barack Obama<1%
- Hillary Clinton<1%
- Hunter Biden<1%
- Stephen A. Smith<1%
- Gina Raimondo<1%
- Zohran Mamdani<1%
- Jared Polis<1%
- Phil Murphy<1%
- Jasmine Crockett<1%
- Abigail Spanberger<1%
- Hakeem Jeffries<1%
- Elissa Slotkin<1%
- Josh Stein<1%
- Chris Van Hollen<1%
- Mitch Landrieu<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- John Fetterman<1%
- Liz Cheney<1%
- LeBron James<1%
- George Clooney<1%
- MrBeast<1%
- Oprah Winfrey<1%
- Andrew Yang<1%
- Beto O’Rourke<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Graham Platner<1%
- Adam Schiff<1%
- Alex Padilla<1%
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
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- Nithya Raman55%▲ 2
- Karen Bass45%▼ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions