Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Dec 31 · $9.7K traded · $1.9K at stake · prices read 30 min ago

The odds

75%Google
  • Google75%▼ 1
  • MiniMax20%▼ 5
  • Pruna15%▲ 2
  • Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH15%▲ 2
  • Black Forest Labs15%▲ 2
  • Pika14%▲ 2
  • Meta14%▲ 1
  • OpenAI11%▲ 1
  • ByteDance10%▲ 1
  • SpaceXAI4%
  • Pixverse3%
  • Lightricks3%
6 more
  • Luma AI3%
  • Runway1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • Kandinsky<1%
  • Genmo AI<1%
  • KlingAI<1%

How the odds have moved

Google: 54% on Oct 20, 75% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Google 75% ▼ 1 61¢ 89¢ $1.12 $3.4K
MiniMax 20% ▼ 5 0¢ 39¢ $2.55 $220
Pruna 15% ▲ 2 1¢ 29¢ $3.40 $200
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 15% ▲ 2 1¢ 29¢ $3.44 $850
Black Forest Labs 15% ▲ 2 0¢ 29¢ $3.46 $240
Pika 14% ▲ 2 0¢ 29¢ $3.48 $163
Meta 14% ▲ 1 1¢ 27¢ $3.72 $205
OpenAI 11% ▲ 1 5¢ 16¢ $6.25 $2.1K
ByteDance 10% ▲ 1 20¢ $5.00 $844
SpaceXAI 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.35 $172
Pixverse 3% 0¢ 7¢ $14.93 $158
Lightricks 3% 0¢ 5¢ $20.00 $192
Luma AI 3% 0¢ 5¢ $20.83 $181
Runway 1% 0¢ 1¢ $176
Tencent <1% 0¢ 1¢ $217
Kandinsky <1% 0¢ 0¢ $166
Genmo AI <1% 0¢ 0¢ $144
KlingAI <1% 0¢ 0¢ $163

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Text-to-Video AI

Search ›
  • Text to Video AI — Free Online Generator | Leonardo.AiLeonardo.ai · 6 days agoDescribe the scene, pick a model, and watch it appear. Leonardo.Ai turns your words into high-quality video clips in minutes — free to start. Your words carry the whole shot. Text-to-video AI turns a written description into a finished…
  • How to Make an AI Video: 13 Steps, 45 Min [2026]Tech Insider · 5 days agoYou will write a shot list, turn it into prompts with a short Python script, run text to video AI drafts, upgrade the keepers with image to video AI, and assemble the result with FFmpeg. If you still need to choose a tool before you start…
  • SCAI UCO | Virtual tour generated by Visitas Virtuales GranadaUniversidad de Córdoba (UCO) · 12 days agofree text to video ai porn Is There AI That Can Make Porn for Consenting Adults With Age Verification Universidad de Córdoba (UCO)

Related markets

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Tech › AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

88%Google
  • Google88%▲ 3
  • Anthropic10%▲ 2
  • Meta<1%
18 more
  • OpenAI<1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions