Will Glean's valuation hit __ by October 31?

Polymarket Finance Closes Sat 11:59 PM ET · $260 today · $10.8K traded · $2.8K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

41%↓$6B

Reaches $7B24%
Reaches $7.25B24%
Reaches $7.5B3%
Reaches $7.75B3%
Reaches $8.75B3%
Reaches $9.75B3%

Falls to $6B41%
Falls to $5.5B41%

Already reached: ↓$6.5B

How the odds have moved

Falls to $5.5B: 21% on Oct 20, 41% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 26, 10 PM ETFalls to $5.5B: 31% → 41%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.
Oct 23, 11 PM ETFalls to $5.5B: 21% → 31%
- UVA Basketball: What we can glean from two blowout preseason winsAugusta Free Press · 4 days ago

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
↑$7B	24%	▼ 21	2¢	18¢	$5.56	$910
↑$7.25B	24%	▼ 2	9¢	67¢	$1.49	$836
↑$7.5B	3%		1¢	3¢	$40.00	$1.3K
↑$7.75B	3%		4¢	6¢	$15.63	$867
↑$8.75B	3%		2¢	4¢	$23.26	$2.2K
↑$9.75B	3%	▼ 1	1¢	5¢	$22.22	$807
↓$5.5B	41%	▲ 15	32¢	58¢	$1.71	$2.7K
↓$6B	41%	▼ 2	3¢	71¢	$1.41	$510
✓ ↓$6.5B	>99%	▲ 27	100¢	100¢		$670

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Glean

Search ›

UVA Basketball: What we can glean from two blowout preseason winsAugusta Free Press · 4 days agoThijs de Ridder had 17 points to lead four ‘Hoos in double-figures as the UVA Basketball team won its final preseason tuneup, 93-71, at Villanova, on Thursday night. Up front here: the game wasn’t on TV, and I didn’t trek to Philly to take…
Glean Adds Headless Agent Building for Claude Code, Cursor and CodexUnite.AI · 5 days agoGlean introduced headless agent building on October 21, 2026, a generally available feature that lets developers create, test, and publish agents as code from coding environments such as Claude Code, Cursor, and Codex, with the finished…
Gleaning group gives £1m of produce to food banksBBC News · 9 days agoGleaning Cornwall relies on volunteers to reduce food waste on farms A gleaning group has saved £1m worth of fruit and vegetables that would have been left in field and donated them to food banks. Gleaning Cornwall relies on volunteers to…
Glean Appoints Francesca Moore to Lead Australia and New ZealandiTWire · 13 days agoGlean | Published 14 Oct 2026 Glean strengthens its investment in ANZ with an experienced enterprise software leader to help scale its growing momentum across the region Glean, the trusted context and intelligence layer for enterprise AI…

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Finance › IPOs & deals

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 24, 2026even chance by

October 31, 2026<1%
November 15, 20262%▼ 4
November 30, 202689%▲ 28

2 more

December 15, 202693%▲ 11
December 31, 202694%▲ 12

Finance › IPOs & deals

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

29%$1.75–$2.0T

$1.75–$2.0T29%
$2.0–$2.25T23%▲ 4
$1.5–$1.75T16%▼ 3

7 more

$2.25–$2.5T11%▼ 2
$1.25–$1.5T10%▲ 4
$2.5–$2.75T4%▲ 1
<$1.25T2%▼ 4
$3.0T+2%
$2.75–$3.0T2%▲ 1
No IPO by December 31, 20272%

Finance › IPOs & deals

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

99%$ANT

$ANT99%▲ 47
$ANTH1%▼ 24
$AAI<1%▼ 8

6 more

$ANAI<1%▼ 3
$APBC<1%▼ 4
$ARPC<1%▼ 1
$CLAU<1%
$CLD<1%▼ 1
$CLDE<1%▼ 5

Finance › Companies

Largest Company end of October 2026?

90%NVIDIA

NVIDIA90%▲ 19
Apple9%▼ 20
Alphabet<1%

6 more

Microsoft<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Broadcom<1%
Amazon<1%
SpaceX<1%

Finance › IPOs & deals

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

86%November 2026

November 202686%▲ 26
December 20266%▼ 17
January 20273%▼ 2

13 more

April 20271%▼ 2
March 20271%▼ 3
May 20271%▼ 1
October 20261%▼ 1
June 20271%
February 2027<1%▼ 1
July 2027<1%
August 2027<1%
October 2027<1%
November 2027<1%
December 2027<1%
September 2027<1%
No IPO before 2028<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Settles onfe.secondmarket.com

Trading closesOct 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$10.8K

Today$260

This week$3.5K

At stake$2.8K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Glean's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and October 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions