Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ Alaska
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$1.6K
✓ Arizona
>99%
▲ 1
99¢
100¢
$1.4K
✓ Georgia
>99%
100¢
100¢
$1.5K
✓ Nevada
>99%
▲ 2
100¢
100¢
$1.6K
✓ Ohio
>99%
100¢
100¢
$1.7K
✓ Texas
>99%
▲ 2
100¢
100¢
$1.8K
Kansas
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$4.4K
North Carolina
>99%
100¢
100¢
$3.2K
Iowa
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$1.1K
Michigan
99%
▲ 1
98¢
100¢
$2.2K
Oregon
41%
10¢
72¢
$1.39
$573
Wisconsin
39%
38¢
39¢
$2.56
$2.9K
New Hampshire
27%
▼ 13
11¢
42¢
$2.38
$3.2K
Maine
14%
▲ 1
10¢
19¢
$5.26
$1.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
How to Watch No. 1 Miami at North CarolinaMiami Hurricanes On SI · 16 h agoNorth Carolina has had the edge against the Miami Hurricanes in their most recent meetings. Winners of five straight matchups, with the last one being in 2023, the Tar Heels have just had the Hurricanes number. Moreover, with Bill…
Four Key Notes and Quotes From Mario Cristobal As No. 1 Miami Looks to North CarolinaYahoo Sports · 20 h agoCORAL GABLES, Fla. - Not a second goes by that the Miami Hurricanes head coach knows he has one of the best teams in the country, but doesn't treat it that way. No. 1 Miami continues its pace and now has all attention on North Carolina…
Roy Cooper Leads in North Carolina Senate RacePolitical Wire · 12 h agoA new Quantus Insights poll in North Carolina finds Roy Cooper (D) leading Michael Whatley (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 51% to 43%. North Carolina Senate Race Roy Cooper (D) 51% Michael Whatley (R) 43% Quantus Insights poll · likely voters…
May What Happens In North Carolina Inform the Prediction Market DebateRealClearMarkets · 10 h agoMembers of the North Carolina House gather for a special session at the General Assembly in Raleigh, N.C., Tuesday, July 24, 2018. The North Carolina legislature has called itself into an unscheduled session starting Tuesday because some…
North Carolina Early Voting Update (Oct. 26) UpdateAnatomy of A Purple State · 17 h agoUpdated October 26 to reflect data through October 25, 2026. 2022 comparisons include the first eleven days of early voting in both years. All words and numbers that have been changed since Oct. 25 appear in bold. All graphs are updated…
North Carolina Senate candidate arrested after armed standoff with policeBNO News · 10 h agoTornado kills 4 construction workers in southern Turkey Magnitude 4.9 earthquake strikes off southern Australia; felt in Adelaide Multiple people feared trapped after multi-story building collapses in Nairobi, Kenya James Comey charged…
Will North Carolina voters elect state's first Democratic senator in 18 years?WXII · 12 h agoFormer Gov. Roy Cooper is hoping to snap his party's five-election losing streak when he takes on Michael Whatley The last time North Carolina elected a Democrat to serve in the United States Senate, the iPhone 3G was a few months old, the…
North Carolina Senate candidate arrested after hours-long standoff with policeWXII · 8 h agoA man running in North Carolina Senate district 16 in the midterm elections is facing multiple charges after an hours-long standoff Monday in Wake County. WRAL reported that Jonathan Miller, 46, of Cary, was arrested around 3 p.m. after…
Diesel, gasoline prices each 16 cents better in North CarolinaThe Center Square · 14 h ago(The Center Square) – Lowest average prices for a gallon of diesel fuel or regular unleaded gasoline are each 16 cents better in North Carolina than any other state in the nation, according to an update Monday from AAA. Along with Ohio and…
Adcock vs. Miller vs. Hensley for North Carolina Senate District 16theballotbrief.com · 17 h agoAdcock, Miller and Hensley are on the November 3, 2026 ballot. Names follow official Wake County election filings. State legislator. State legislators write and vote on state laws and the state budget, which fund schools, roads, prisons…
John Fanta's college basketball Top 25: Duke No. 1, North Carolina left outNBC Sports · 7 h agoJohn Fanta has unveiled his latest college basketball Top 25 rankings, with Duke leading the way at No. 1. Florida and UConn round out the top three, followed by Houston and Illinois. Despite the Fighting Illini dealing with injury…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions