What will Trump say in October?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Sat 7:59 PM ET · $1.5K today · $13.6K traded · $923 at stake · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

>99%Six Seven
  • Six Seven>99%▲ 59
  • Neurotic50%
  • Weave49%▲ 7
  • Illness48%▲ 4
  • Dancing in the Street39%

How the odds have moved

Six Seven: 55% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
✓ Teleprompter >99% ▲ 17 100¢ 100¢ $488
✓ Central Casting >99% ▲ 32 98¢ 100¢ $676
✓ Ass >99% ▲ 21 99¢ 100¢ $517
✓ Shit >99% ▲ 17 92¢ 100¢ $1.1K
✓ Slob >99% ▲ 44 98¢ 100¢ $322
✓ Gay >99% ▲ 28 99¢ 100¢ $658
✓ Stupid Person >99% ▲ 22 95¢ 100¢ $414
✓ Through the Roof >99% ▲ 5 100¢ 100¢ $610
✓ American Dream >99% ▲ 19 100¢ 100¢ $650
✓ Who Are You With / Where Are You From >99% ▲ 1 100¢ 100¢ $372
✓ Caddie >99% ▲ 36 93¢ 100¢ $433
✓ Refund >99% ▲ 74 100¢ 100¢ $828
✓ Newborn >99% ▲ 55 100¢ 100¢ $458
✓ Caravan >99% ▲ 28 100¢ 100¢ $460
✓ Front Row Joe >99% ▲ 7 99¢ 100¢ $723
✓ Trump Derangement Syndrome / TDS >99% ▲ 21 100¢ 100¢ $507
✓ Shut Up >99% ▲ 53 100¢ 100¢ $857
Six Seven >99% ▲ 59 99¢ 100¢ $2.7K
Neurotic 50% 10¢ 89¢ $1.12 $202
Weave 49% ▲ 7 10¢ 88¢ $1.14 $171
Illness 48% ▲ 4 5¢ 90¢ $1.11 $132
Dancing in the Street 39% 5¢ 72¢ $1.39 $269

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Six Seven

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions