The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
September 30
<1%
▼ 10
0¢
$780
October 5
<1%
▼ 1
2¢
$58.82
$3.6K
October 10
<1%
▼ 7
0¢
$3.5K
October 15
<1%
▼ 3
1¢
$9.5K
October 31
>99%
▲ 84
99¢
100¢
$18.6K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Paxton Sues OpenAI and Sam Altman, Seeks to Block Minors From ChatGPT@cdnnow · 6 h agoTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton has sued OpenAI and CEO Sam Altman, accusing the ChatGPT maker of marketing its chatbot as safe while failing to protect Texans, including children. The lawsuit, filed Friday in Collin County district…
Chatbot AI Service Comparison: OpenAI ChatGPT vs Claude vs Gemini (for CRM Actions)DEV Community · 21 h agoShort answer: Choose OpenAI ChatGPT for dynamic casual dialogue, Claude for explainable complex reasoning, and Gemini when minimal-response latency dominates; keep all three behind one CRM action contract. The boundary is simple: the model…
Sweden's Government Offices Block ChatGPT and Claude, Keep Microsoft CopilotDecrypt · 23 h agoSweden's Government Offices—the administrative body supporting the prime minister and cabinet—will block ChatGPT and Claude on staff computers from Monday, directing civil servants to Microsoft's Copilot as the only approved AI tool…
OpenAI will stop training its models on the internet after cyber incidentsFox News · 24 h agoOpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, will stop training its most advanced models on the internet. This comes after a string of cyber incidents ... OpenAI will stop training its models on the internet after cyber incidents OpenAI, the…
ChatGPT Is Building Detailed Psychological Profiles of Its UsersDNYUZ · 4 h agoA recent study, conducted by a coalition of scientists in Germany, India and the Netherlands and presented at the ACM Web Conference 2026, investigated the ways that OpenAI’s ChatGPT has tracked and made sense of user inputs to develop…
Forced to pick, Grok’s AI model chooses Republicans. OpenAI’s picks Democrats.TechCrunch · 31 h agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Most AI chatbots won’t outright tell you who to vote for, but some of the models behind them will. A new study found that when forced to choose in this year’s upcoming…
Build a Local ChatGPT UI with Zero API CostsDEV Community · 13 h agoCreating content manually for 9 channels would take 8+ hours daily. I have a full-time job as VP at JPMorgan. The math doesnt work. One plist per channel. Runs at the exact scheduled time. Google Cloud TTS: Free (4M chars/month) Pexels…
OpenAI Resumes Training AI, But Without Internet Accessdeccanchronicle.com · 9 h agoOpenAI said it had resumed training its most advanced models but intends to block internet access until it feels it has adequate safeguards in place to mitigate the risk of unreleased models being able to take unapproved actions online…
Google Gemini 4 Argon Costs 33% Less to Run vs ChatGPT 6.1Geeky Gadgets · 12 h agoGemini 4 Argon delivers top-tier AI performance at 60% of the cost of competitors. Read our full breakdown of its 3D modeling and coding skills. App Development: Simplifying Prototyping and Replication In the realm of app development…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
