LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 3 · $476 today · $33K traded · $1.7K at stake · prices read 27 min ago

The odds

20%Raman 0-4%
  • Raman 0-4%20%▲ 3
  • Bass 0-4%16%▼ 7
  • Raman 4-8%12%▲ 1
  • Raman 8-12%12%▲ 3
  • Bass 4-8%11%
  • Raman 12-16%9%▲ 5
  • Bass 8-12%8%
  • Bass 12-16%4%▲ 1
  • Raman 20+%4%▲ 1
  • Raman 16-20%3%
  • Bass 16-20%3%▲ 1
  • Bass 20+%1%

How the odds have moved

Raman 0-4%: 21% on Oct 20, 20% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Raman 0-4% 20% ▲ 3 20¢ 23¢ $4.35 $7.9K
Bass 0-4% 16% ▼ 7 15¢ 24¢ $4.15 $3.3K
Raman 4-8% 12% ▲ 1 12¢ 15¢ $6.67 $4.3K
Raman 8-12% 12% ▲ 3 12¢ 16¢ $6.25 $3.5K
Bass 4-8% 11% 11¢ 13¢ $7.94 $2.1K
Raman 12-16% 9% ▲ 5 7¢ 14¢ $7.14 $1.8K
Bass 8-12% 8% 6¢ 15¢ $6.80 $2K
Bass 12-16% 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 8¢ $12.66 $1.4K
Raman 20+% 4% ▲ 1 2¢ 8¢ $12.82 $2.1K
Raman 16-20% 3% 3¢ 6¢ $17.54 $1.3K
Bass 16-20% 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.71 $1.9K
Bass 20+% 1% 1¢ 2¢ $43.48 $1.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Margin of Victory, LA Mayoral

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