Oregon Senate winner? (2026)
98%Jeff Merkley
- Jeff Merkley98%
- David Brock Smith2%
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Oregon Senate winner? (2028)
The odds
93%Democratic party
- Democratic party93%
- Republican party7%
How the odds have moved
Democratic party: 93% on Oct 19, 93% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 93% | 89¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 556 | |
| Republican party | 7% | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 764 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oregon Senate
Search ›- Governor of Oregon : Senate Bill 243 Signing Remarks : Speeches : State of OregonAn official website of the State of Oregon Learn How you know » (how to identify a Oregon.gov website) An official website of the State of Oregon » 900 Court Street, Suite 254 Salem, OR 97301-4047 A .gov website belongs to an official…
- Oregon Senate District 6 candidates' views on data centers, Eugene airportThree candidates are vying for Oregon Senate District 6 seat, which represents eastern Lane County, most of Linn County and southern Marion County. Farmer and business owner Jack Tibbetts, dietician and lifelong Sweet Home resident Sierrah…
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Jackson Co. State Senate race being watched statewideWatch the Oregon Gubernatorial Debates hosted by KOBI-TV and KTVZ, and view other elections coverage. MEDFORD, Ore.– As ballots begin arriving in mailboxes for the November 3rd general election, only one Rogue Valley race is being watched… -
Third party-candidate, massive donation dump fuel Southern Oregon Senate race toss-upPublished 1:10 pm Friday, October 16, 2026 More than $1 million in just the last month has poured into two candidates’ campaigns for a Southern Oregon state Senate seat being vacated by a Democrat who narrowly won it in 2022. Retiring… -
Actor, activist Jane Fonda makes appearances, endorsements in OregonActor and progressive activist Jane Fonda made appearances in Salem and Portland last week to support Oregon Democratic candidates ahead of the Nov. 3 election. Fonda, 88, a two-time Oscar winner known for her roles in the TV show "Grace… -
Third party-candidate, massive campaign donations fuel Southern Oregon Senate race toss-upA third-party candidate has the potential to siphon votes from both the Democrat and Republican candidate running in Senate District 3. More than $1 million in just the last month has poured into two candidates’ campaigns for a southern… -
What Does It Mean to Be a Republican in Josephine County?I don’t know that any of my Republican friends would have sat down and called those things “Republican values.” They were simply values they lived. And lately I have found myself wondering: Are these still the qualities we expect from… -
Farmer raises over $100k in bid for Oregon state senate seatSaginaw farmer Jack Tibbetts has raised over $100,000 in his bid to win the open Oregon senate seat representing east Lane/Linn counties in the state Legislature, and neither of his opponents have come close to that figure. Tibbetts' top… -
Lane, Linn County candidates compete for open Oregon Senate seatThe Oregon State Senate seat that represents eastern Lane County and most of Linn County is on the ballot this November. But District 6’s current senator, Republican Cedric Hayden, can’t run again after participating in a lengthy… -
Senate District 16 candidate Rachel Armitage answers our questionnaireRachel Armitage, running against Courtney Bangs and Melisa Finkle for the open state Senate District 16 seat, answers Banks Post's seven questions on Highway 6, state forests, wildfire funding and more. This is part of a series of Banks… -
Letter: Showing Up Matters in Senate District 16Campaign season brings plenty of promises. I prefer to look at what candidates have done when they’ve actually had the opportunity to serve. She was appointed to represent Senate District 16 in 2022. During her time in the Oregon Senate… -
Election 2026: Democrat Krause sets sights on Oregon Senate District 3 racePublished 8:30 am Tuesday, October 13, 2026 The race is on this November to fill Oregon’s State Senate District 3 seat, currently held by Jeff Golden. Denise Krause, an Ashland Democrat, faces off with Brad Hicks, a Medford…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.