Oklahoma Senate winner? (2028)
91%Republican party
- Republican party91%
- Democratic party9%
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Oklahoma Senate winner? (2026)
The odds
97%Kevin Hern
- Kevin Hern97%
- N’Kiyla Thomas3%
How the odds have moved
Kevin Hern: 97% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Hern | 97% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 23.0K | |
| N’Kiyla Thomas | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | 27.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oklahoma Senate, Kevin Hern, N’Kiyla Thomas
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31 veterans board Heroes Flight from Tulsa to Washington, D.C.TULSA, Okla. — Thirty-one veterans from Oklahoma and Texas boarded the Heroes Flight at Tulsa International Airport, bound for Washington, D.C. Fifteen of those veterans are from the Tulsa area, and together the group represents 249 years… -
Political notebook: GOP money advantage 20-1 in state congressional racesBy the numbers: The quarterly Federal Election Commission financial reports filed last week by Oklahoma congressional incumbents and challengers didn’t immediately reveal anything very surprising, but they did underscore Republicans’… -
Tedford and Croisant take different approaches in Oklahoma's 1st District raceWhat began in April as a 13-candidate scramble for an unexpectedly open seat in Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District has become a relatively quiet Nov. 3 contest between Democrat John Croisant and Republican state Rep. Mark Tedford of… - Self-described socialist N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas wins Oklahoma Democratic Senate primaryIn August, N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, a 31-year-old Oklahoma nurse with no prior political office, won the Democratic nomination for the US Senate seat vacated by Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin, defeating lawyer Jim Priest with…
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Heartbreaking stories of kratom addiction shared with Oklahoma lawmakersDuring an interim study Oct. 12 at the Capitol, Steve Covington told lawmakers how his son has struggled with "addiction to this product that was marketed as a natural substance that could boost his energy and help with soreness (that) has… -
Senators Celebrate Renovation of Jim Thorpe Memorial BuildingThe Oklahoma Senate is committed to ensuring digital accessibility for all users. We actively work to improve the accessibility of this website to people with diverse abilities. If you experience any issues or have feedback, please view… -
MEET THE CANDIDATES: Who is running for office in OklahomaTake a deep dive into the men and women running for Oklahoma's biggest offices this election year. Mike Mazzei is the Republican gubernatorial candidate. He defeated incumbent Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond in an August runoff… -
Oklahoma lawmakers consider tax credit pushed by Tony DungyOKLAHOMA CITY — Pro Football Hall of Fame coach Tony Dungy wants Oklahoma lawmakers to create a multimillion-dollar tax credit that would benefit family-focused nonprofits, including the Florida-based organization that he helped launch… -
What would State Question 845 change about Oklahoma’s court system?About 60 years ago, a bribery scandal sent one Oklahoma Supreme Court Justice to prison, another resigned and a third was impeached and removed from office. Voters wanted to get politics and nepotism out of the courts, so they created the… -
Mazzei says Oklahoma Republicans are eager for the electionNational observers say Republicans are not terribly exited about the Nov. 3 general election. State Question 843 would have let voters consider phasing out property taxes for people who live in homes they own. A lawsuit was filed that p…… -
Armstrong's financial ties to Williams draw scrutiny amid Senate transition disputeThis originally published in the Oct. 11, 2026, edition of the Tulsa World as part of the D.C. Digest roundup of news related to Oklahoma's congressional delegation. A report published last week in Sludge suggests U.S. Sen. Alan Armstrong… -
Oklahoma senator seeks public input ahead of Flock camera studyState Sen. Mary Boren is requesting public feedback ahead of an Oct. 21 Senate committee study examining surveillance technology, privacy concerns and law enforcement use of Flock cameras. Oklahoma senator seeks public input ahead of Flock…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.