Illinois Senate winner? (2026)
98%Juliana Stratton
- Juliana Stratton98%
- Don Tracy2%▲ 1
Install
Illinois Senate winner? (2028)
The odds
95%Democratic party
- Democratic party95%
- Republican party5%
How the odds have moved
Democratic party: 95% on Oct 19, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 95% | 92¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 182 | |
| Republican party | 5% | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.82 | 181 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Illinois Senate
Search ›-
Election 2026: Illinois Senate 18th District Candidage Christine McGovernOAK LAWN, IL—GOP candidate Christine McGovern, of Oak Lawn, is running for an open seat in the 18th District Senate race. The 2026 Gubernatorial Election is Nov. 3. The 18th District covers all or parts of Alsip, Chicago Ridge, Evergreen… -
Taxes, data centers among topics in Illinois Senate race in 42nd DistrictEditor’s note: This is one in a series of stories looking at contested races in the Nov. 3 general election. The race for the Illinois Senate seat in the 42nd District is between Democrat Jared Ploger and Republican Edgardo Perez. The… -
Beekman, Halpin face off in Illinois senate district 36 raceA former Illinois State Patrol master sergeant will be attempting to unseat a longtime legislator in Illinois. The security footage, provided by the Moline Grinder's & Spaghetti House, shows two individuals hauling away metal parts and… -
Illinois must not forget Rod Blagojevich's record | LetterI find it astonishing that ousted Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich continues to receive national television exposure, particularly on Fox News, as though his disgraceful record in public office were merely an unfortunate misunderstanding. I… -
2026 Election: Danielle Penman, Illinois Senate District 33ST. CHARLES, IL — Danielle Penman, a Republican running for Illinois' 33rd Senate District, says reducing property taxes, lowering energy costs and making Illinois more affordable are among her top priorities if elected to the Illinois… -
Frank Lesko challenges Doris TurnerIllinois Times, the capital city's source of news, politics, arts, entertainment, culture Frank Lesko wants voters to send him to the Illinois Senate to cut the cost of government. Doris Turner wants them to keep her there to bring state… -
POLITICO Pro: Crypto super PAC to go after Democrat Juliana Stratton in Illinois Senate primaryThe campaign against Stratton, who is currently serving as Illinois lieutenant governor, is one of the crypto PAC network’s first big moves in a Senate race this cycle. -
Letters: Blagojevich record, St Louis MO manufacturingLetters to the editor can be submitted to [email protected]. I find it astonishing that ousted Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich continues to receive national television exposure, particularly on Fox News, as though his disgraceful record…
Related markets
All senate ›Texas Senate winner? (2026)
64%James Talarico
- James Talarico64%▼ 2
- Ken Paxton36%▲ 1
South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
79%Darline Graham
- Darline Graham79%▼ 3
- Annie Andrews21%▲ 2
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
66%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party66%▼ 1
- Republican Party34%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
64%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)64%▼ 3
- Ken Paxton (R)37%▲ 3
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
66%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep66%▼ 1
- D-House, R-Senate24%▲ 2
- Republicans sweep9%▲ 1
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.