Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 7, 2029 · $979 traded · $724 at stake · prices read 6 h ago

The odds

92%Republican party
  • Republican party92%▼ 1
  • Democratic party8%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Republican party: 93% on Oct 19, 92% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Republican party 92% ▼ 1 89¢ 97¢ $1.03 1.0K
Democratic party 8% ▼ 3 3¢ 12¢ $8.33 253

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Arkansas Senate

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  • Early Voting Starts Mondayarkansashouse.org · 7 days agoBy Brayan Flores · October 16, 2026 Early voting for the 2026 General Election begins Monday, October 19. With Election Day just a few weeks away, now is a good time to make a plan to vote. Whether you prefer to vote early or wait until…
  • Pharmacist, social worker compete for Arkansas Senate District 13 seatKUAR · 10 days agoRepublican State Representative Brandon Achor says he chose not to seek a third term representing Arkansas House District 71 because he wanted to spend more time legislating, and less time campaigning. Achor hopes to replace term-limited…
  • Which States Have Election Commissions or Boardselectionreformers.org · 9 days agoInformation on who is appointed to these boards and how is rooted in state statutes. In order to demystify the process, ERN has collected information from each state, which you can find below: Detail: Secretary of State serves as…
  • Sanders’ challengers contend governor isn’t concentrating enough on key issues Arkansans face@arkansasonline · 10 days agoArkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders boasted during a debate Tuesday about the state’s successes during her term while her challengers, Democrat Fred Love and Libertarian Colt Shelby, criticized her for not concentrating enough or being…
  • Key GOP Senator Surges to Double-Digit Lead Over Democrat in Senate RaceConservative Brief · 11 days agoRepublican Senator Tom Cotton holds an eleven-point lead in Arkansas, according to polling circulated ahead of November’s midterm elections. An Election Time post on X reported Cotton receiving 50 percent support against Democratic…
  • Advocate for foster children urges more support for young Arkansans exiting system@el_newstimes · 13 days agoArkansas must rethink the way it helps young people aging out of the state's foster care system, an advocate told a legislative panel Friday. Eric Gilmore, CEO of Immerse Arkansas, founded the organization in Little Rock with his wife more…
  • The Tea ft. Hallie Shoffner, Arkansas Senate CandidateThe Contrarian · 15 days agoA new amicus brief from the NAACP, make sure to VOTE, and Trump is hurting Arkansas farmers The Tea ft. Hallie Shoffner, Arkansas Senate Candidate Thank you for joining us for another episode of The Tea with April Ryan! Today, April was…
  • Budget Hearings Beginarkansashouse.org · 14 days agoBy Brayan Flores · October 9, 2026 Although the 2027 Regular Session is still several months away, much of the work that shapes the state’s budget is already underway. This week, Arkansas lawmakers began Pre-Session Budget Hearings, an…
  • Evening Roundup, October 8: We Are Jane Doe and ICE Violates the ConstitutionThe Contrarian · 15 days agoThe Contrarian Evening Roundup, October 8: We Are Jane Doe and ICE Violates the Constitution We Are All Jane Doe, DHS denies ICE abuses, Mississippi in midterm play, a special Coffee with Contrarians, Arkansas Senate race on The Tea…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.