Alaska Senate winner? (2026)
76%Democratic party
- Democratic party76%
- Republican party25%
Install
Alaska Senate winner? (2028)
The odds
75%Republican party
- Republican party75%
- Democratic party26%
How the odds have moved
Republican party: 68% on Oct 20, 75% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican party | 75% | 70¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 1.5K | |
| Democratic party | 26% | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 1.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska Senate
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Two Dans, four choices, one big headache for GOP in Alaska Senate raceRepublicans are sweating what a four-way ballot and ranked-choice tabulation with a same-name rival could mean for Sen. Dan Sullivan’s reelection bid. 10/20/2026 10:00 AM EDT ANCHORAGE — Alaska Republicans have railed for years against… -
Alaska Senate Fight Turns on Fuel, Food and FuryIn a state where even the basics can carry eye-popping price tags, Mary Peltola has turned her Senate campaign into a tour of Alaska’s most punishing realities. She has traveled to remote communities in the state’s vast interior and along… -
Alaska Senate Candidate Cues Viral Reaction With Embarrassing Thing She Brought to Live DebateDebate preparation is generally considered a good thing. But when you're running for the United States Senate, voters probably expect you to be able to discuss your own record without constantly consulting a cheat sheet. Former Alaska… -
Senators weigh in on the Alaska Senate 'toss up' raceSen. Dan Sullivan, R-Alaska, and Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, discuss the Alaska Senate debate and the 'cue card' controversy. They also weigh in on the administration's actions regarding Russia sanctions. Senators weigh in on the Alaska Senate… -
A high-stakes Alaska senate raceFox News A high-stakes Alaska senate race The 'Journal Editorial Report' panel discusses how Alaska's economic future is on the line. -
Trump Threatens Legal Action To Remove Second Dan Sullivan From Alaska RaceOct 22, 2026 at 07:42 AM EDT President Donald Trump has said he is looking at "powerful legal options" to force the removal of the Alaska Senate candidate Daniel J. Sullivan Jr., claiming his name is causing confusion as the incumbent… - Sullivan walks the line with Trump in Alaska Senate raceSen. Dan Sullivan in an interview with POLITICO declined to put distance between himself and President Donald Trump. President Donald Trump shakes hands with Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) during a campaign rally in Wasilla, Alaska, on…
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Alaska Senate candidates clash over the Iran war, high prices and their times in officeMorning Rundown: Teen suspect dead after school shooting, Trump calls Ukraine's renewed oil strikes a ‘disgrace,’ and debunking an election conspiracy The two major candidates vying for an Alaska Senate seat squared off Thursday night over… - Takeaways from the Alaska Senate debate between Mary Peltola and Dan SullivanThe Washington Post The battleground Senate race is key to deciding which party controls the chamber. Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) and former congresswoman Mary Peltola (D-Alaska) clashed on their efficacy in Congress, high prices in the…
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President Trump Rallies in Iowa; Ilhan Omar Says She's Leaving D.C. Home (Oct. 22)And two Sullivans, one Alaska Senate seat. President Trump says he’s weighing legal options to get one of them removed from the ballot. What would you like to watch today? President Trump Rallies in Iowa; Ilhan Omar Says She's Leaving D.C… -
Dan Sullivan and Mary Peltola exchange jabs in Alaska Senate debateWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Gas Pain Grips Alaska As Senate Battle TightensIn Alaska, the cost of filling a tank is becoming a political weapon. Rising gas prices in rural parts of the state are putting fresh pressure on voters who already live with some of the highest everyday costs in the country, and that…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.