Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
99%chance
Install
Will USPS perform mandatory ballot-mail verification? (Before Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
4%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 6% on Oct 19, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: USPS
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USPS preps for election day(CNN)– The U.S. Postal Service is preparing to implement what it calls extraordinary measures to ensure ballots are delivered on time. It begins Saturday, October 24, and the extraordinary measures mostly take place behind the scenes. They… -
Mail your ballot early, USPS urges SWFL voters before Nov. 3TAMPA, Fla. (WINK) — The U.S. Postal Service says it's ready to securely deliver ballots for the 2026 election, urging voters to mail their ballots at least one week before their election office's deadline. The Postal Service held a… -
Akron post office closes suddenly and provides USPS mobile unitA 22-year-old man from Tuscaloosa is behind bars on attempte… Miss University of Alabama 2026-27 is Elaina Burt, an honors… Getting your mail has never been more confusing for people who live in Akron. The post office put up a sign, the… -
USPS considers curbside mail for Lahaina rebuildersHONOLULU (KHON2) -- For Lahaina residents rebuilding their homes after the wildfire, getting the mail at their doorstep could become possible again. The United States Postal Service said they are reconsidering curbside delivery in rebuilt… -
USPS intercepts suspicious letter intended for Vermont Rep. Becca Balint's officeThe United States Postal Service has intercepted a suspicious letter that was sent to Vermont Rep. Becca Balint's office. A spokesperson for Balint said the congresswoman was notified by USPS that it had flagged a letter mailed to her… -
USPS considers resuming Lahaina deliveriesThe USPS could consider resuming delivery to parts of Lahaina if certain safety measures are met, according to an update from the County of Maui. USPS considers resuming Lahaina deliveries Instagram tip leads to arrest of man accused of… -
Attorney General James Blocks Unlawful USPS Mail-In Voting RuleNEW YORK – New York Attorney General Letitia James today released the following statement after a federal judge granted her motion for a temporary restraining NEW YORK – New York Attorney General Letitia James today released the following… -
Sewell demands USPS reopen Hale County post office closed before electionAlabama GOP moves to protect legislative seats in Madison, Limestone Mancuso proposes converting Lawrence County Hospital for assisted living Ivey opens Alabama Academy of Honor induction ceremony Alabama awards $1 million grant for…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.