Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
188.3median
140230
Median 188.3Middle half 175.1 – 198.2
Install
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
The odds
9%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 7% on Oct 20, 9% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 17.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: North Korea, Kim Jong-Un
Search ›-
North Korea publishes photos of Kim Jong Un - why do rumours of his death keep coming back?Kim Jong Un has appeared in North Korean state media looking remarkably healthy for a man rumoured to have died from a brain haemorrhage. The images emerged hours after a Chinese dissident who lives in the US claimed, without evidence… -
Why death rumours of North Korea leader Kim Jong Un spread as e appear wit im daughterKim Jong Un show for North Korean state media and e look very healthy for pesin wey rumour spread say e don die brain haemorrhage. Fotos wey di state newspaper Rodong Sinmun publish show as di 42-year-old dictator dey tour wetin di paper… -
North Korea releases photos of Kim Jong Un at clothing expo after viral death rumorsWashington Examiner The newly released images show Kim at a clothing and shoe expo with his daughter. He appeared well and fit, seemingly disputing unverified claims that he had fallen into a coma and died of a brain hemorrhage. According… -
Kim Jong Un Pictured As Unfounded Health Rumors Spread OnlineOct 20, 2026 at 09:41 AM EDT Oct 20, 2026 at 12:14 PM EDT The images, published by North Korea's state-run Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) and the ruling Workers' Party newspaper Rodong Sinmun on Tuesday, show Kim apparently visiting a… -
A Chinese dissident falsely claims Kim Jong Un is dead - why is this rumour back?Kim Jong Un has appeared in North Korean state media looking remarkably healthy for a man rumoured to have died from a brain haemorrhage. The images emerged hours after a Chinese dissident who lives in the US claimed, without evidence… -
Kim Jong Un ‘proof of life’ photos released by North Korea after wild rumors dictator died from brain hemorrhageThe images, published by North Korean state media on Monday, show a seemingly animated Kim examining children’s footwear, gesturing toward officials and inspecting women’s coats at a garment and footwear exhibition. In one image, Kim bends… -
North Korea releases photos of Kim Jong Un after death rumorsABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos -
Who ruled North Korea before Kim Jong Un?Before Kim Jong Un, North Korea was ruled by his father, Kim Jong Il, from 1994 to 2011, and his grandfather, founder Kim Il Sung, from 1948 to 1994. The Kim dynasty established an absolute totalitarian regime backed by a nuclear arsenal… -
Is Kim Jong Un Dead? North Korea Releases New PhotosRumours of the death of Kim Jong-un have gone viral on social media, with reports that the North Korean leader had suffered a brain haemorrhage and was taken to China for emergency treatment. On the other hand, North Korean state media… -
Kim Jong-un is 'dead' again: Why rumors about North Korean leaders never dieNational Kim Jong-un is 'dead' again: Why rumors about North Korean leaders never die Published : Oct. 21, 2026 - 15:14:17 The latest round of speculation, which originated from an unverified social media post by US-based Chinese dissident… -
Kim Jong Un Reportedly Passes Away Secretly In China As North Korea Responds To RumorsKim Jong Un’s whereabouts have become a startling mystery online after claims about him secretly losing his life. Speculation intensified after a US-based Chinese dissident, associated with the China Democratic Party, made explosive claims… -
North Korea Releases Kim Jong Un Photos Amid Death SpeculationThe images show Kim inspecting children’s shoes, women’s clothing and coats, apparently to counter death rumours Unverified online claims had alleged that Kim died from a brain haemorrhage and that Kim Yo Jong had taken control North…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.