Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance▲ 1
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Will Tucker Carlson form a third party? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
23%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Jan 1, 202714%
- Before Jul 1, 202721%
- Before Jan 1, 202823%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 14% on Oct 19, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14% | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 3.9K | |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 21% | 19¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 23% | 19¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tucker Carlson
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WATCH: Even antisemites are sick of cuckoo Tucker CarlsonAvowed Hitler apologist Nick Fuentes tore into Tucker Carlson's obsession with Israel and the Jews, diagnosing him with IDS, Israel Derangement Syndrome. WATCH: Even antisemites are sick of cuckoo Tucker Carlson Avowed Hitler apologist… -
Holocaust-denier Nick Fuentes rips 'Jew-hater' Tucker Carlson, urges Vance to denounce himWhite nationalist Nick Fuentes claims that he tried to convince far-right podcaster Tucker Carlson to drop his “rabid antisemitism” and abandon his apparent obsession with Israel. By David Rosenberg, World Israel News White nationalist… -
Ben Shapiro’s Response to Tucker Carlson & Religious ControversyBen Shapiro addressed a recent online controversy regarding his comments on Christianity and Judaism at an event at the University of Texas at Austin. He refutes claims that he is anti-Christian or wishes to convert Christians to the… -
Polymarket Removes Cornell 7 Market; Kalshi Deletes Tucker Carlson Crime Odds TweetI will be at NEXTPredict in New York City this week, and I will be moderating a couple of panels. Reply to the newsletter, email [email protected], text, DM or send a passenger pigeon if you want to meet. The truth machines… -
'Are You Giving Taxpayers Shares?' — Tucker Carlson Grills Kevin O'Leary Over $15 Billion Utah Data Center Asking Taxpayers To PayA massive AI data center can promise jobs, investment and a shot at the next technology boom. But when taxpayers are asked to help pay for it, one question gets harder to avoid. What exactly do they get in return? During an interview with… - White nationalist Nick Fuentes calls Tucker Carlson 'true Jew hater' | The Jerusalem PostWhite nationalist and Holocaust denier Nick Fuentes called Tucker Carlson a “true Jew hater” and urged US Vice President JD Vance to condemn him in a video clip shared online on October 20. The roughly one-minute excerpt showed Fuentes…
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Don Jr.’s Betting Pals Mysteriously Delete Tucker Carlson OddsA betting company advised by Donald Trump Jr. mysteriously posted, then abruptly deleted, a social media post claiming his dad’s nemesis, Tucker Carlson, had an astonishing 87 percent chance of facing federal criminal charges this year… -
Jon Gross Esq. on Talkline With Zev Brenner: Featured on Tucker Carlson’s ShowTucker Carlson’s and Warren Buffett’s Orthodox Rabbi, Jon Gross, Esq., joins Talkline with Zev Brenner. Rabbi Jonathan Gross is a former Department of Justice attorney who rose to prominence representing January 6 defendants before serving… - Transcript of Jonathan Gross Interview: Tucker Carlson ShowTUCKER CARLSON (00:00:04 – 00:00:40): Jonathan Gross, thank you so much for doing this. So you’ve had this remarkable life, and I almost hesitate to ask you to start with your bio, but I just want you to explain one thing because I think…
- Tucker Carlson on Iran War, Trump’s Diesel Deal – Jimmy Dore Show (Transcript)JIMMY DORE: (00:14:05 – 00:14:06) Tucker, are you there? TUCKER CARLSON: (00:14:08 – 00:14:10) Oh, Mr. Dore, I presume. JIMMY DORE: (00:14:11 – 00:14:14) How are you, buddy? Thanks for coming on. I appreciate it. TUCKER CARLSON: (00:14:14…
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Tucker Carlson wants us to forget the truth about Adolf HitlerBy BOGDAN KLICH - GUEST ESSAY FOR THE WASHINGTON POST October 19, 2026 - 4:11 PM History cannot be molded at will. It can be observed, analyzed and evaluated from a multitude of perspectives. But the events themselves cannot be changed… - Mike Huckabee suggests Tucker Carlson possessed, mentally ill: 'That demon must have got into him'U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee suggested during a podcast last week that political commentator Tucker Carlson could be mentally unwell and demonically possessed amid his staunch criticism of the Israeli government and the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.