Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
96%chance▼ 2
Install
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
The odds
34%chance▼ 6
How the odds have moved
Yes: 47% on Oct 20, 34% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 11 PM ET43% → 35%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34% | ▼ 6 | 32¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 9.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Jasmine Crockett, James Talarico
Search ›- Suspicious Package Hits Jasmine Crockett's Dallas OfficeThe Dallas Voice newsroom itself is located on the building's second floor, just below Crockett's office, putting the outlet in the middle of the story it was covering. The building also previously housed the district office of longtime…
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WATCH LIVE: Dem Senate nominee James Talarico holds campaign rally in San AntonioTexas Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico speaks at a "Clear Eyes, Full Hearts" campaign rally in San Antonio. WATCH LIVE: Dem Senate nominee James Talarico holds campaign rally in San Antonio Texas Democratic Senate nominee James… -
James Talarico rallies young voters in Austin who are critical to his Senate hopesThe Democrat held a Friday-night rally at the University of Texas at Austin, where multiple students told NBC News they had already voted and worry about the cost of living. AUSTIN, Texas — James Talarico is trying to become the first… -
Jasmine Crockett Visits Stockton, Urges Voters to Show Up for Local ElectionsTexas Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett rolled through the Central Valley on Thursday night with a simple message: stop sleeping on the bottom of your ballot. RELATED: Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett Endorses Tamica Small for Stockton City… -
Texas Has Been Democrats’ White Whale. Can James Talarico Finally Catch It This Midterm?For years, Texas has been the Democratic Party’s white whale, an elusive prize that has repeatedly slipped out of reach. With the US midterm elections days away, Democrat James Talarico is giving his party fresh hope of finally turning the… -
Phrase Haze: Dem ‘Moderate’ James Talarico Blames Prior Woke Comments on Being ‘Inarticulate’Talarico is asked about his prior woke comments. "I think what I've regretted is kind of how I phrased certain things." "When you pull out maybe the most inarticulate of those things to make an attack ad, I certainly regret not… - James Talarico Made a GREAT Argument Against Open Borders on CNN Last NightThere are only 19 days remaining until the midterms, and Texas Senate candidate James Talarico is among Democrats who are pretending not to be the absolute lunatics they are until the election is over. Talarico was doing his thing again…
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Neil Bush Breaks With Republican Tradition to Endorse Texas Democrat James TalaricoAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… -
James Talarico targets Ken Paxton, Elon Musk at San Antonio rallyDemocratic U.S. Senate candidate James Talarico promised to “beat the billionaires and take back Texas” at a Saturday rally in San Antonio. Talarico spoke to hundreds of cheering supporters at 1902 Nightclub in St. Paul’s Square Saturday… -
Texas Southern Students March To Vote With James TalaricoTexas Southern University students brought HBCU homecoming energy straight to the ballot box on Friday, Oct. 23. Texas Southern University students brought HBCU homecoming energy straight to the ballot box on Friday, Oct. 23, as Houston… -
James Talarico visits Corpus Christi rally, Dia de los Muertos FestivalTalarico criticized his Ken Paxton and called for campaign-finance reforms, while U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez highlighted his own reelection race. Thousands are without power in the North West and events have been cancelled. Flights have… - Neil Bush Backs Texas Democrat James Talarico, Citing Damage Done To Republican PartyBy David Prior | Oct 24, 2026 | Featured, News & Analysis, Politics Neil Bush, son of former President George H.W. Bush and brother of former President George W. Bush, has publicly endorsed Democratic Texas Senate candidate James Talarico…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions