Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
98%chance
Install
Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
The odds
61%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 61% on Oct 20, 61% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61% | 60¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | 17.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California
Search ›-
The California climate move-out10/23/2026 07:30 PM EDT With help from Noah Baustin and Alex Nieves Extreme weather could force more Californians to leave their homes. | Ethan Swope/AP PACK YOUR BAGS: More wildfires, greater flooding, longer and more extreme heat waves… -
DOJ demands that California counties help identify noncitizen votersThe Department of Justice on Friday warned local election officials in California to cooperate with the administration to identify noncitizens on a list of registered voters or face potential legal action, according to a letter obtained by… -
California cracks down on illegal marijuana growingCalifornia congressman James Gallagher discusses the crackdown on illegal marijuana growing in California. Gallagher talks about the Chinese crime ties to this illegal growing. He seeks the FBI and Kash Patel to help go after this… -
DOJ demands Southern California registrars verify alleged noncitizen ballotsCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. DOJ demands… -
AOC stops by In-N-Out burger during California campaign tripCampaigning for lefty candidates all over the country sure does work up an appetite. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumped off the trail to visit an In-N-Out burger after holding an event in Bakersfield, Calif., as part of a nationwide tour… -
Feds put California school districts’ ‘TMI’ student questionnaires on noticeIt’s wrong to promote radical gender ideology in schools. And it’s unconscionable to hide such efforts from parents. As The California Post reported exclusively, the US Department of Education on Friday announced investigations into three… -
Pleasant fall weekend ahead in Southern CaliforniaCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS News Chicago Saturday 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS News Miami This Morning 9am WCCO News Saturday Morning 8am CBS News New… -
California faces court deadline in Trump administration's noncitizen voter disputeThe Ninth Circuit ordered California to respond to an emergency Justice Department request seeking to set aside ballots tied to roughly 20,000 suspected noncitizens ahead of the midterm elections. California faces court deadline in Trump… -
California in the voting crosshairsYour afternoon must-read briefing on politics and government in the Golden State 10/22/2026 04:55 PM EDT California is fighting a host of voting-related battles with less than two weeks until the midterm election. | Frederic J. Brown/AFP… -
California officials ordered by DoJ to set aside ‘likely’ noncitizen ballotsLetters from federal prosecutors represent latest escalation as Trump continues to make claims of voter fraud The letters are the latest escalation in a legal battle between California and Donald Trump’s Department of Justice, which has… -
Geology professor discusses California coastal erosion concernsCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Geology… -
Justice Department orders California counties to set aside ballots from suspected noncitizensThe Justice Department on Friday ordered California election officials to identify suspected noncitizens on voter rolls and set aside their mail-in ballot – warning that officials who knowingly count ballots cast by noncitizens could face…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions