How high will the S&P/TSX Composite Index get in 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Indexes Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $2.5K traded · $950 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

35%At least 37,000

36,00041,000

How the odds have moved

At least 37,000: 35% on Oct 20, 35% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
✓ At least 36,000	99%				$1.01	330
At least 37,000	35%		45¢		$2.86	4.4K
At least 38,000	22%	▼ 2	17¢	27¢	$3.70	2.3K
At least 39,000	7%	▲ 1	2¢	11¢	$9.09	828
At least 40,000	4%		1¢	6¢	$16.67	2.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: TSX Composite Index

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S&P/TSX Composite Index Jumps to Six-Week High As Commodity-Based Sectors RallyMarketScreener · 3 days agoThe S&P/TSX Composite Index vaulted to the highest level in six weeks on Friday, extending its gains as shares in the base metal and energy sectors jumped. Shares in the base metal sector gained... S&P/TSX Composite Index Jumps to Six-Week…
S&P/TSX composite index down nearly 250 points, U.S. markets mixedToronto Star · 5 days agoThe Bay Street financial district of Toronto is shown on Sunday, Sept. 8, 2024. TORONTO - Canada’s main stock index fell nearly 250 points on Monday, weighed down by broad losses, while U.S. markets were mixed. The S&P/TSX composite index…
S&P/TSX composite falls more than 350 points, U.S. markets mixedCTVNews · 2 days agoS&P/TSX composite down more than 400 points, U.S. stock markets also lower CTV News TORONTO â Canadaâs main stock index fell more than 350 points, weighed down by losses in the basic materials sector, while U.S The S&P/TSX composite…
Sunday Lake Gold Corp. (SNDY.TO)Yahoo Finance · 3 days agoStock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada Trailing total returns as of 2026-10-22, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P/TSX Composite index (^GSPTSE) .
CHAR Technologies Ltd. (YES.V)Yahoo Finance · 3 days agoStock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada CHAR Technologies Ltd. engages in converting woody materials and organic waste into renewable gases and biocarbon. It offers renewable natural gas and green hydrogen; SulfaCHAR, an…
GoldCoast Resource Corp. (EKW.F)Yahoo Finance · 3 days agostock price, news, quote and history Yahoo Finance Australia Australia markets close in 4h 35m GoldCoast Resource Corp. (EKW.F) GoldCoast Resource Corp. Overview Gold / Basic Materials GoldCoast Resource Corp. engages in the exploration of…
Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (FFH.TO)Yahoo Finance · 3 days agoStock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada Insurance - Property & Casualty Trailing total returns as of 2026-10-21, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P/TSX Composite index (^GSPTSE) .
S&P/TSX composite down more than 400 points, U.S. stock markets also lowerBNN Bloomberg · 3 days agoTORONTO — Canada’s main stock index was down more than 400 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the energy, technology and base metal sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell. The S&P/TSX composite index was down…
TSX opens lower as mining, tech stocks weighMarketScreener · 2 days agoPublished on 10/22/2026 at 12:01 pm EDT S&P/TSX Composite Index Lower as Base Metals Shares Fall October 22, 2026 at 12:02 pm EDT Wall Street, Please Make Up Your Mind on AI AI has tipped China's stock market bearish Neither Hot nor Cold
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS)Yahoo Finance · 3 days agostock price, news, quote and history Yahoo Finance Singapore Trailing total returns as of 21/10/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P/TSX Composite index (^GSPTSE) .
i-80 Gold Corp. (IAU.TO)Yahoo Finance · 3 days agoStock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada i-80 Gold Corp., a mining company, engages in the exploration and advancement of gold and silver mineral deposits in the United States. It also explores for polymetallic deposits…
Canagold Resources Ltd. (CCM.TO)Yahoo Finance · 3 days agoStock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada Oops, something went wrong Canagold Resources Ltd. (CCM.TO) Canagold Resources Ltd. Overview Gold / Basic Materials Canagold Resources Ltd. engages in the evaluation, acquisition…

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Finance › Indexes

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$772.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $772.50 and as low as $757.50.

Reaches $770>99%
Reaches $775<1%

Falls to $765>99%
Falls to $760>99%

Already reached: ↑ $765

Finance › Indexes

Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

91%chance▲ 1

Finance › Indexes

IBOVESPA closing level on Oct 26, 2026

214,769median

189,000221,000

Median 214,769Middle half 211,099 – 215,974

Finance › Indexes

10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?

4.49%median

1.74%8.24%

Median 4.49%Middle half 4.33% – 6.35%

Finance › Indexes

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

$776.48high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $776.48 and as low as $750.38.

Reaches $770>99%
Reaches $78023%

Falls to $760>99%
Falls to $75048%

Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770

Finance › Indexes

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

48%↑ $8,000

Traders see as low as 7,307.

Reaches 8,00048%
Reaches 8,20021%

Falls to 7,40066%
Falls to 7,20032%

Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onTrading View

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$2.5K (10,349 contracts)

This week$2.5K

At stake$950

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the value of S&P/TSX Composite Index (TSX) is at least 36,000 from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.