Tesla energy deployment in Q4 (energy storage deployments (GWh) in Q4 2026)

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes May 2, 2027 · $5.3K traded · $2.6K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

17.9median
626
Median 17.9Middle half 15.3 – 20.2

How the odds have moved

Median: 17.6 on Oct 20, 17.9 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 8 GWh 96% 95¢ 97¢ $1.03 2.0K
Above 10 GWh 90% 86¢ 93¢ $1.08 3.2K
Above 12 GWh 87% 82¢ 91¢ $1.10 88.00
Above 14 GWh 85% 80¢ 89¢ $1.12
Above 16 GWh 70% 65¢ 74¢ $1.35 369
Above 18 GWh 49% 44¢ 53¢ $1.89 344
Above 20 GWh 27% 22¢ 31¢ $3.23
Above 22 GWh 13% 8¢ 17¢ $5.88
Above 24 GWh 7% 2¢ 11¢ $9.09

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Tesla

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  • 'Nothing short of a miracle;' 2 adults, 2 kids survive Tesla cliff plunge at Devil's SlideCBS News · 33 h agoUpdated on: January 2, 2023 / 8:17 PM PST / CBS San Francisco PACIFICA (CBS SF) – A Tesla drove off a cliff near Devil's Slide Monday morning, with two adults and two children surviving the plunge. UPDATE: Tesla driver arrested for…
  • Exclusive / SpaceX-Tesla merger could face antitrust scrutinysemafor.com · 3 days agoCould the Tesla-SpaceX merger that Elon Musk floated this week pose antitrust problems? One former Justice Department official told Semafor that the risks are real. Antitrust regulators view such “vertical” mergers as pro-competition, the…
  • SpaceX Filing Gives Elon Musk the Final Word on Tesla Merger He Says He’s Staying Out OfDecrypt · 2 days agoElon Musk recused himself from the SpaceX-Tesla merger talks. His company’s SEC filing suggests that doesn’t mean much. SpaceX’s October 22 10-Q disclosed that any potential combination with Tesla “would be subject to further approval by…
  • With earnings in rearview mirror, SpaceX-Tesla merger chatter takes center stageCNBC · 3 days agoElon Musk told Tesla shareholders on Wednesday that, when it comes to a potential merger with SpaceX, he’d already “said everything that should be said.” Tesla’s head of investor relations told analysts before opening the call to their…
  • Tesla cuts capex forecast to about $20 BillionFox Business · 3 days agoTesla faces intense market scrutiny as Nancy Tengler and Ross Gerber join Liz Claman to debate the automaker's autonomous future. Tengler analyzes the Optimus robot delivery timeline, while Gerber raises safety concerns about Cybercab…
  • Tesla is prepping a Cybercab onslaughtTechCrunch · 4 days agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Tesla says it is preparing to launch its shiny gold Cybercab in new markets outside its home of Austin, Texas, in a bid to “literally take over every part of terrestrial…
  • Sure, let’s smoosh SpaceX and Tesla together, who caresThe Verge · 3 days agoYes, of course there are pay package incentives in play for Musk. But that’s not all. Oh sure, SpaceX’s credit risk is pretty high because it’s about to borrow another $40 billion to spend on Nvidia chips, but who cares about that? SpaceX…
  • The impact of a Tesla/SpaceX merger according to Tom NarayanCNBC · 4 days agoTom Narayan, lead equity analyst at RBC Capital Markets, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the potential merger of Tesla and SpaceX, takeaways from Tesla in Q3 and more. The impact of a Tesla/SpaceX merger according to Tom Narayan
  • Why would Musk merge SpaceX and Tesla?STLtoday.com · 18 h agoElon Musk said Tuesday that a merger of his two companies SpaceX and Tesla would ​be "a good idea" and that they had formed special committees to discuss a union, sending shares of the space and technology company up 8% in extended…
  • SpaceX now says potential blockbuster Tesla merger would need Elon Musk’s approvalNew York Post · 3 days agoSpaceX said Thursday its potential merger with Tesla will require controlling investor Elon Musk’s approval, even though the entrepreneur has recused himself from talks between his two companies because of conflicts of interest. Musk, the…
  • Tesla Launches Switch and Save Carnival at Tesla Experience Centers Across IndiaThrust Zone · 46 h agoTesla today announced its Switch and Save Carnival from 23rd to 25th October, 11 AM to 8 PM, at Tesla Experience Centers across India, with Model Y ownership starting at an effective₹19,900/month on a ₹6 lakh down payment, making the Model…
  • Drive Tesla Download: Top Stories for October 19-25Drive Tesla · 12 h agoDrive Tesla Download is back. Tesla’s Q3 earnings dominated the week, from falling profits to new timelines for Cybercab, Optimus and unsupervised FSD. Here’s the lead story, followed by nine more you shouldn’t miss. Revenue stayed flat at…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions