Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Dec 9, 2027even chance by
- October 318%▼ 7
- November 3045%▼ 9
- December 3165%▼ 12
Install
Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?
The odds
Dec 11, 2026even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 202620%
- Before Dec 1, 202648%
- Before Jan 1, 202756%▼ 2
- Before Apr 1, 202775%
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 1, 2026: 20% on Oct 20, 20% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 20% | 16¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | ||
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 48% | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 5.00 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 56% | ▼ 2 | 55¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 4.9K |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 75% | 70¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Supreme Court
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Supreme Court won't review Trump's firing of labor board memberThe Supreme Court declined on Monday to hear a bid by a Democratic-appointed member of the National Labor Relations Board to challenge the legality of her firing by President Donald Trump. The justices turned away former NLRB member Gwynne… -
Four Supreme Court Justices Sit Out Decision Preventing QuorumOct 19, 2026 at 11:11 AM EDT Oct 19, 2026 at 12:11 PM EDT Four justices recused themselves from a copyright dispute on Monday, according to an order list released by the Supreme Court. Those recusals mean the case does not have a quorum… -
Mahmoud Khalil asks Supreme Court to hear deportation caseWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Supreme Court unable to consider copyright case after four justices recuseWashington Examiner The Supreme Court was unable to consider a petition to review a copyright case after a rare lack of quorum due to four justices recusing themselves from evaluating the petition. The high court announced in an order list… -
Supreme Court Won’t Overturn Landmark Music Copyright Termination RulingThe justices used a rare maneuver to uphold a ruling for songwriter Cyril Vetter that major music companies have warned will cause "chaos" for the industry. The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday (Oct. 19) refused to overturn a landmark ruling… -
Supreme Court to hear case challenging admissions criteria for middle-school programBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. A group of parents… -
Mahmoud Khalil asks US supreme court to review his deportation caseA ruling against Khalil could impact the rights of immigrants to challenge their detention in federal court “This fight is not only about whether I get to stay in this country, it’s really about whether anyone in this country can speak out… -
Mahmoud Khalil asks Supreme Court to let him keep fighting his detentionBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The former Columbia… -
Supreme Court declines to hear appeal in disputed Afghan adoption caseBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. WASHINGTON — The… -
Supreme Court to review racial discrimination case over Maryland school admissions policyWashington Examiner The Supreme Court will take up a case regarding alleged racial discrimination in the admissions policy for magnet middle schools in Montgomery County, Maryland, marking the latest lawsuit against the county’s schools to… -
Supreme Court rejects effort to revive Khalid Sheikh Mohammed plea dealBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. WASHINGTON — The… -
Whiskey rebellion over 1868 law on home distilleries heads to the Supreme CourtWhen John Ream got into brewing beer at home nearly two decades ago, starting out was as easy as opening the kit his wife bought for him as a gift. But the Ohio engineer’s plans ran dry when he tried to switch to making whiskey. That’s…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.