Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Dec 27, 2027even chance by
- October 317%
- November 3032%▼ 12
- December 3154%▼ 8
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Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
The odds
20%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 18% on Oct 20, 20% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | ▼ 1 | 19¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 771.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: impeachment
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Support for impeachment jumps in new pollVoters are now evenly split on whether Congress should begin impeachment proceedings against President Donald Trump, a marked increase in support for impeachment, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll. The poll, which began… -
Army won't investigate Vindman over impeachment testimony, top leader says02/14/2020 2:04 PM EST The Army will not investigate Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman, the former National Security Council staffer who testified in the president’s impeachment investigation, the service’s top civilian said Friday. Army… -
Warnock Backs Post-Midterms Trump Investigations Amid Impeachment DebateOct 18, 2026 at 05:38 PM EDT Oct 18, 2026 at 06:11 PM EDT Senator Raphael Warnock said Democrats should investigate President Donald Trump and his administration if they win back the House in November, pushing back against warnings that… -
GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the HouseFox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports the latest on the midterm elections as early voting opens in Ohio and Florida. GOP lawmakers warn of impeachment if Democrats flip the House Fox News chief congressional… -
The Why And How Of Impeachmentby Ed Walker | Oct 21, 2026 | Featured, SCOTUS | 0 comments Posts in this series The Roberts Majority also junked the principle that decisions about investigations and prosecutions in specific cases are left to the independent judgement of… -
Senior Trump cabinet member 'in trouble' as impeachment becomes 'inevitable': reportUS Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins, Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum, Attorney General Todd Blanche, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent attend a National Design Studio launch event for America.gov, a… -
Sara Duterte: Impeached but not yet defeatedSecond of a four-part series LAST week, we left the Deegong in The Hague, before an institution he could neither appoint nor intimidate. This week, we turn to Vice President Sara Duterte before the Senate, where her impeachment trial has… -
GOP loses grip on 7 scandal-hit Senate races that now stand between Trump and impeachmentPresident Donald Trump speaks to the media as he leaves after a Team USA reception hosting athletes who competed for Team USA at the 2026 Winter Olympic and Paralympic Games in Milano Cortina, Italy, in the East Room at the White House in… -
CNN host grills Democrat calling for Donald Trump's impeachment over alleged offenses: 'Are all these high crimes?'CNN host Kasie Hunt challenged Rep. Adam Smith, a Washington Democrat, over his call to impeach President Donald Trump, questioning whether the president’s alleged misconduct qualifies as “high crimes and misdemeanors.” Smith argued that… -
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Tell Congress to Impeach DHS Secretary Markwayne MullinICE agents raided Rep. Ilhan Omar’s DC residence, seizing her phone and subpoenaing her family members as part of an investigation into her citizenship — one that could result in her denaturalization and deportation. Using the full might… -
Democratic Party pushes Jo Hee-de impeachment, downplays public backlashKim Ki-pyo urges swift impeachment of Jo Hee-de, predicts limited voter blowback Within the Democratic Party of Korea, a call to impeach Chief Justice Jo Hee-de has been raised once again. Regarding the cautious view within the party on… -
Filipinos split over preferred outcome of VP Duterte’s impeachment trialMORE Filipinos have started taking sides in Vice-President (VP) Sara Duterte-Carpio’s impeachment trial in the third quarter, though public opinion remains divided between acquittal and conviction, according to a survey by OCTA Research…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 7 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.