Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Michael Cohen
24%
▼ 10
21¢
27¢
$3.70
22.8K
Larry Householder
19%
▼ 1
15¢
22¢
$4.55
3.2K
John Kiriakou
14%
13¢
16¢
$6.25
30.6K
Nicole Daedone
13%
11¢
15¢
$6.67
8.3K
Josh Wander
12%
8¢
16¢
$6.25
157
Rachel Cherwitz
11%
8¢
15¢
$6.67
6.8K
Kimberly Guilfoyle
10%
6¢
14¢
$7.14
Tim Leissner
9%
5¢
14¢
$7.14
6.3K
Sean Combs
9%
▼ 1
8¢
9¢
$10.64
67.3K
Keonne Rodriguez
9%
▼ 1
9¢
9¢
$11.63
6.7K
Leonard Glenn Francis
9%
4¢
13¢
$7.69
2.7K
Joseph Maldonado
8%
6¢
10¢
$10.00
2.1K
Robin Smith
8%
5¢
10¢
$10.00
495
Jho Low
8%
7¢
8¢
$12.50
6.5K
Tal Alexander
7%
5¢
10¢
$10.10
19.00
Steve Bannon
7%
7¢
7¢
$14.49
9.9K
Torence Hatch
7%
4¢
9¢
$11.24
6.4K
Jared Kushner
6%
3¢
10¢
$10.31
7.8K
Bill Hwang
6%
4¢
8¢
$12.50
7.0K
Elizabeth Holmes
6%
▼ 2
5¢
6¢
$16.67
15.3K
Matt Borges
6%
1¢
10¢
$10.10
29.00
Kenneth Petty
5%
2¢
8¢
$12.05
9.9K
Braden John Karony
5%
1¢
9¢
$11.11
359
Derek Chauvin
5%
▲ 1
4¢
6¢
$17.86
94.4K
Sam Bankman-Fried
5%
4¢
6¢
$18.18
75.9K
Roger Ver
5%
▼ 1
3¢
6¢
$16.67
4.2K
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
▼ 1
4¢
5¢
$20.00
81.5K
Julian Assange
5%
3¢
6¢
$17.24
5.2K
Martin Shkreli
4%
3¢
6¢
$16.95
24.8K
Aimee Bock
4%
1¢
8¢
$13.16
129
Donald Trump
4%
3¢
6¢
$16.67
18.7K
Edward Snowden
4%
3¢
5¢
$20.00
8.6K
Bob Menendez
4%
▼ 1
1¢
7¢
$14.49
4.1K
Nicolás Maduro
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
19.5K
Charlie Javice
4%
2¢
5¢
$20.00
11.4K
Eric Adams
3%
▼ 1
1¢
6¢
$17.54
3.9K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
John Kiriakou Makes His Case to Be US Ambassador to GreeceGreek City Times · 7 days agoThe Greek American whistleblower is pushing back on reports that called his bid “half-joking”. Former CIA officer and whistleblower John Kiriakou is making a bid to become the next US ambassador to Greece, and he is pushing back on…
Forget the Next Netflix: Meet the Companies Trying to Build the Next HBO of PodcastsDaily-Tribune · 4 days agoMedia companies are betting the next entertainment giants could emerge from podcast personalities rather than traditional studios. Newcomer ROSE Media, launched in January 2026, aims to become the HBO of podcasts, reporting over 100…
MIKE DAVIS: Sen Slotkin reveals her insidious scheme to target young conservativesFox News · 6 days agoCIA whistleblower John Kiriakou explains why his prosecution was a template for 'lawfare' against President Donald Trump and others on a new episode of 'Hang Out with Sean Hannity.' Sen. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., supposedly is a "moderate"…
Fake Surveys and Big Misses: Pollsters Face Challenges in 2026Campaigns & Elections · 2 days agoDecember 8, 2026 | Washington, D.C. When a virtually unknown polling shop called Median Strategies revealed last week that it had fabricated surveys in Wisconsin and Los Angeles as a “short-term social experiment,” the news sparked a…
Secretary of State candidate Allison Russo wants more drop boxesSignal Ohio · 5 days agoAllison Russo, 50, was raised in Mississippi, a first-generation college graduate who went on to earn several advanced degrees. She works in health policy for a healthcare consulting firm based in Washington, D.C. To hear from her…
Trump Too Busy For A Deposition, Not Too Busy For A Campaign RallyAbove the Law · 5 days agoHe sued them, remember. The company is emphasizing ‘white glove service’ in the AI era. Here’s what the initiative is delivering for clients. The BBC’s filing adds, with the economy of a broadcaster that has seen some things: “He did not.”…
The challenge of tagging Republicans as 'corrupt' in 2018POLITICO · 6 days agoRep. Chris Collins’ indictment on insider trading charges has given Democrats new ammunition in their drive to take back the House — highlighting the latest scandal as part of what they call a web of corruption ensnaring President Donald…
Daily Mail VideosDaily Mail · 4 days agoThe trial of Russell Brand was shown a picture of a gents toilet in Soho where a woman claims she was raped by the star after he 'dragged' her inside.The comedian is on trial and accused of three rapes, three sexual assaults and indecent…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
Who will Trump pardon before 2027? 
