KalshiCulture › MusicCloses Dec 30 · $16 today · $25.1K traded · $10.3K at stake · prices read 6 min ago
The odds
58%Man I Need
Man I Need58%▲ 14
Earrings35%▼ 2
The Fate of Ophelia1%
Babydoll1%
Golden<1%
Ordinary<1%
Manchild<1%
Your Idol<1%
Soda Pop<1%
Don’t Say You Love Me<1%
BIRDS OF A FEATHER<1%
back to friends<1%
8 more
Die With A Smile<1%
APT.<1%
DtMF<1%
luther (with sza)<1%
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)<1%
End of Beginning<1%
Stateside + Zara Larsson<1%
iloveitiloveitiloveit<1%
How the odds have moved
Man I Need: 55% on Oct 20, 58% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 21, 7 PM ETMan I Need: 62% → 50%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Man I Need
58%
▲ 14
58¢
67¢
$1.49
16.5K
Earrings
35%
▼ 2
35¢
42¢
$2.38
37.9K
The Fate of Ophelia
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
3.7K
Babydoll
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
2.7K
Golden
<1%
1¢
$100.00
1.3K
Ordinary
<1%
1¢
$100.00
3.4K
Manchild
<1%
1¢
$100.00
338
Your Idol
<1%
1¢
$100.00
398
Soda Pop
<1%
1¢
$100.00
377
Don’t Say You Love Me
<1%
1¢
$100.00
295
BIRDS OF A FEATHER
<1%
1¢
$100.00
313
back to friends
<1%
1¢
$100.00
480
Die With A Smile
<1%
1¢
$100.00
582
APT.
<1%
1¢
$100.00
319
DtMF
<1%
1¢
$100.00
1.5K
luther (with sza)
<1%
1¢
$100.00
82.00
Timeless (feat Playboi Carti)
<1%
1¢
$100.00
77.00
End of Beginning
<1%
1¢
$100.00
763
Stateside + Zara Larsson
<1%
1¢
$100.00
53.00
iloveitiloveitiloveit
<1%
1¢
$100.00
50.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.