Dream Fatigue: First Week Streams (Dream Fatigue | November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026)
8.73Mmedian
022.00M
Median 8.73MMiddle half 5.72M – 13.13M
Install
FRESH: First Week Streams (FRESH | November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026)
The odds
91%Above 16M
022.00M
How the odds have moved
Above 1M: 99% on Oct 21, 99% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1M | 99% | 97¢ | $1.02 | 6.7K | ||
| Above 2M | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 128 | ||
| Above 3M | 98% | 91¢ | $1.02 | 163 | ||
| Above 4M | 98% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.5K | ||
| Above 5M | 98% | 97¢ | $1.02 | 1.4K | ||
| Above 6M | 97% | 83¢ | $1.03 | 558 | ||
| Above 8M | 97% | ▼ 3 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 114 |
| Above 10M | 97% | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.4K | |
| Above 12M | 97% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.1K | |
| Above 14M | 91% | ▲ 1 | 87¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 1.7K |
| Above 16M | 91% | 89¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 903 | |
| Above 18M | 91% | 88¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 543 | |
| Above 20M | 91% | 81¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 77.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Streams FRESH, FRESH
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Macron tightens protest rules as France braces for fresh wave of unrestFormer Deputy National Security Advisor Victoria Coates breaks down French protests as President Emmanuel Macron restricts demonstrations. Macron tightens protest rules as France braces for fresh wave of unrest Former Deputy National… -
TrailBuddy: less scrolling, more fresh airI had a simple idea for this challenge: if I have a free hour and want to get outside, why does deciding what to do sometimes take longer than the walk? TrailBuddy is a small web app that fixes that. You tell it where you are (even just… -
Semantic Retrieval Fallbacks for Fresh Healthcare Appointment SearchShort answer: use staged retrieval with explicit collections, bounded queries, and traceable source context. For a healthcare appointment assistant, query a small current collection first, fall back under a fixed deadline, and return a… -
Volvo Cars shares plunge 25% amid China sales slump and fresh job cutsVolvo Cars said Friday it plans to slash 2,500 jobs as a severe decline in its Chinese market weighed on earnings in the third quarter. -
Russia and Ukraine trade fresh strikes despite renewed push for U.S.-brokered peace talksRussia and Ukraine continued trading intense strikes on civilian and energy infrastructure overnight, less than a day after the parties signalled that peace negotiations were moving forward in U.S.-brokered talks. Russia unleashed a major…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions