How many weeks will Dandelion by Ella Langley spend at #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
12%at least 4 weeks
37
Install
Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026
The odds
29.4median
2437
Median 29.4Middle half 27.3 – 30.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.2 on Oct 20, 29.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ At least 18 weeks | 99% | $1.01 | 2.0K | |||
| ✓ At least 19 weeks | 99% | $1.01 | 1.2K | |||
| ✓ At least 20 weeks | 99% | $1.01 | 2.7K | |||
| ✓ At least 21 weeks | 97% | $1.03 | 2.9K | |||
| ✓ At least 22 weeks | 99% | $1.01 | 7.6K | |||
| ✓ At least 23 weeks | 99% | $1.01 | 9.7K | |||
| ✓ At least 24 weeks | 99% | $1.01 | 6.1K | |||
| At least 25 weeks | 100% | ▲ 1 | 99¢ | 74.0K | ||
| At least 26 weeks | 86% | ▼ 2 | 85¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 16.8K |
| At least 27 weeks | 82% | ▼ 10 | 43¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 16.8K |
| At least 28 weeks | 56% | ▲ 1 | 53¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 9.4K |
| At least 29 weeks | 56% | ▲ 3 | 56¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 8.6K |
| At least 30 weeks | 40% | ▲ 14 | 32¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 19.1K |
| At least 31 weeks | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 9.8K | |
| At least 32 weeks | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 4.0K | |
| At least 33 weeks | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 6.1K | |
| At least 34 weeks | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 343 | |
| At least 35 weeks | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 118 | |
| At least 36 weeks | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 8.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Choosin' Texas
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Ella Langley – Choosin' TexasElla Langley turns a simple two-step into the biggest song in America with “Choosin’ Texas,” a track that has completely dominated the charts since its release. The song arrived on October 17, 2025, as part of her album “Dandelion,” and it… -
Choosin’ Texas: Eli Lilly breaks ground at Houston oral GLP-1 manufacturing siteThe Lone Star State will host one of ten planned facilities in the US by the pharmaceutical conglomerate. Earlier this week, Eli Lilly announced it broke ground on a large site in Houston, Texas. The location will be one of ten US… -
Why Ella Langley Cast Kaitlin Butts in ‘Choosin’ Texas’ VideoLangley knew that Kaitlin Butts would be good at playing the mean girl. Continue reading… Why Ella Langley Cast Kaitlin Butts in ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Video Langley knew that Kaitlin Butts would be good at playing the mean girl. Continue… -
Ella Langley’s ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Matches Mariah Carey’s 26-Week Streaming RecordCountry music continues to hold a strong presence on the streaming charts, with Ella Langley’s Choosin’ Texas maintaining its position among the most-played songs in the United States. The single has now spent 26 weeks at No. 1 on… -
Why Ella Langley Chose Kaitlin Butts to Play the Mean Girl in Her ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Video [Exclusive]Kaitlin Butts isn't scared of a fight. During a recent conversation with Taste of Country, the singer admitted that it's kind of a running joke in her touring band that she won't let bad behavior slide. She doesn't start conflict, she… -
Ella Langley’s ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Ties Mariah Carey for Most Weeks Atop Streaming Songs ChartBoth "Choosin' Texas" and "All I Want for Christmas Is You" have spent 26 weeks at No. 1. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” ties Mariah Carey’s “All I Want for Christmas Is You” for the most weeks at No. 1 on Billboard’s Streaming Songs… -
'Choosin' Texas' turns one as Ella Langley reflects on the song that made her country's biggest starElla Langley speaks about her deep appreciation for supporters and how their connection transformed her path during an interview tied to the 2026 iHeartRadio Music Awards held March 26, 2026, in Los Angeles. Ella Langley hopped on social… -
Why the charts are full of old songs - and so are your playlistsOne of 2026's biggest hits is Zara Larsson's Lush Life, originally released in 2015 More music is being created than at any other time in human history. Every day, more than 100,000 songs, external are being submitted to streaming… -
No. 1 ‘Again’! Ella Langley Makes More History on Country Airplay ChartThe country star adds her sixth No. 1 in record time with "Loving Life Again," and a fourth from Dandelion. Ella Langley earns her sixth No. 1 on Billboard’s Country Airplay chart as “Loving Life Again” rises a spot on the Oct. 31-dated… -
Ella Langley Toasts ‘365 Days of Madness’ for ‘Choosin’ Texas,’ the 45-Minute Song That Outran Mariah CareyArden Lambert covers breaking country music news for Country Thang Daily. If it just happened in country music, Arden is on it. It took Ella Langley and three co-writers 45 minutes to write “Choosin’ Texas.” A year after the song came out… -
Ella Langley Pays Tribute to Dolly Parton With Smoldering Version of ‘Jolene’Ella Langley performed 'Jolene' at the 'I Will Always Love You' Dolly Parton tribute concert in Nashville on Oct. 21. Leave it to country’s current record holder to tackle one of Dolly Parton’s most famous (and frequently covered) songs… -
The Grammy for Producer of the Year, Non-Classical, Will Go to the Best StorytellerRolling Stone's predictions for the Producer of the Year, Non-Classical category at the Grammys in 2027. Leading up to the Grammy nominations on Nov. 16, “Rolling Stone” is breaking down 11 different categories. For each, we’re predicting…
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