Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

Polymarket Culture › Music Closes Jul 31, 2027 · $333 today · $11.7K traded · $1.4K at stake · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

27%Armenia

Armenia27%▲ 8
Spain22%
France16%
Poland16%▼ 6
Ukraine14%
Georgia12%▼ 1
North Macedonia11%
Cyprus10%▼ 2
San Marino8%▼ 1
Netherlands3%
Albania3%
Italy3%

6 more

Ireland2%
Montenegro2%
Croatia2%
Portugal1%
Azerbaijan1%▼ 1
Malta1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Armenia	27%	▲ 8	16¢	37¢	$2.70	$714
Spain	22%		12¢	31¢	$3.21	$325
France	16%		13¢	20¢	$5.08	$534
Poland	16%	▼ 6	11¢	21¢	$4.76	$454
Ukraine	14%		11¢	17¢	$5.88	$2.1K
Georgia	12%	▼ 1	9¢	15¢	$6.67	$517
North Macedonia	11%		2¢	20¢	$4.98	$358
Cyprus	10%	▼ 2	5¢	16¢	$6.21	$351
San Marino	8%	▼ 1	1¢	15¢	$6.76	$397
Netherlands	3%		1¢	5¢	$18.52	$348
Albania	3%		1¢	4¢	$25.64	$533
Italy	3%		1¢	4¢	$22.73	$365
Ireland	2%		1¢	4¢	$23.81	$322
Montenegro	2%		1¢	3¢	$37.04	$628
Croatia	2%		0¢	3¢	$31.25	$605
Portugal	1%		0¢	3¢	$38.46	$293
Azerbaijan	1%	▼ 1	1¢	2¢	$55.56	$2.6K
Malta	1%	▼ 1	0¢	1¢	$100.00	$333

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Junior Eurovision

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Swim – BTS<1%
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson<1%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj<1%
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Cynthia Erivo2%
Foo Fighters2%
Lil Baby2%
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1.67median

1100

Median 1.67Middle half 1.34 – 3.03

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11 more

Swim – BTS<1%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<1%
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10 more

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Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy<1%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj<1%
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Billie Jean – Michael Jackson<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesJul 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$11.7K

Today$333

This week$11.7K

At stake$1.4K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.