PolymarketCulture › MusicCloses Jan 31, 2027 · $2.6K today · $124K traded · $11.5K at stake · prices read 32 min ago
The odds
65%Man I Need – Olivia Dean
Man I Need – Olivia Dean65%▲ 8
Earrings – Malcom Todd32%▼ 1
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley<1%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<1%
Risk It All – Bruno Mars<1%
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo<1%
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson<1%
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande<1%
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy<1%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj<1%
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars<1%
Swim – BTS<1%
1 more
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson<1%
How the odds have moved
Man I Need – Olivia Dean: 58% on Oct 20, 65% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 21, 7 PM ETMan I Need – Olivia Dean: 63% → 51%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Man I Need – Olivia Dean
65%
▲ 8
61¢
69¢
$1.45
$70.6K
Earrings – Malcom Todd
32%
▼ 1
30¢
33¢
$3.03
$47.6K
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley
<1%
0¢
0¢
$473
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars
<1%
0¢
0¢
$849
Risk It All – Bruno Mars
<1%
0¢
0¢
$825
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
0¢
0¢
$573
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson
<1%
0¢
0¢
$770
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande
<1%
0¢
0¢
$446
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy
<1%
0¢
0¢
$550
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj
<1%
0¢
$392
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars
<1%
0¢
$287
Swim – BTS
<1%
0¢
$385
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson
<1%
0¢
$676
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
