#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Sun 11:59 PM ET · $99 today · $1.1K traded · $865 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

97%you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love97%▲ 5
  • DANDELION22%
  • Rubber Soul5%
  • I'm The Problem5%
  • The Great Divide5%
  • The Art of Loving5%
  • ICEMAN5%
  • SOS5%
  • One Thing At A Time5%
  • PRIMA5%
  • Thriller5%
  • The Life of a Showgirl3%
3 more
  • HABIBTI1%
  • Stick Season1%
  • THE DIVINE FEMININE1%

How the odds have moved

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in lov: 95% on Oct 21, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 11 AM ETyou seem pretty sad for a…: 95% → 89%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love 97% ▲ 5 62¢ 98¢ $1.02 853
DANDELION 22% 20¢ $5.00 1.1K
Rubber Soul 5% 40¢ $2.50 100
I'm The Problem 5% 40¢ $2.50 65.00
The Great Divide 5% 40¢ $2.50 195
The Art of Loving 5% 42¢ $2.38 100
ICEMAN 5% 40¢ $2.50 111
SOS 5% 42¢ $2.38 100
One Thing At A Time 5% 40¢ $2.50 100
PRIMA 5% 42¢ $2.38 100
Thriller 5% 40¢ $2.50 65.00
The Life of a Showgirl 3% 5¢ $20.00 65.00
HABIBTI 1% 2¢ $50.00 30.00
Stick Season 1% 32¢ $3.13 784
THE DIVINE FEMININE 1% 13¢ $7.69 3.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Billboard, Rubber Soul

Search ›

Related markets

All music ›

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s) (2027)

74%JAY-Z
  • JAY-Z74%▼ 18
  • Miley Cyrus21%▲ 1
  • Beyoncé19%▼ 1
54 more
  • Harry Styles8%▲ 3
  • Lady Gaga4%▲ 2
  • Tate McRae4%▲ 3
  • Justin Bieber4%
  • Rihanna4%
  • Taylor Swift4%▼ 1
  • Kanye West / Ye4%
  • Lil Wayne3%
  • Ariana Grande3%
  • Morgan Wallen2%
  • Oasis2%
  • Adele2%
  • AC/DC2%
  • BTS2%
  • Imagine Dragons2%
  • Guns N' Roses2%
  • Eagles2%
  • Katy Perry2%
  • Linkin Park2%
  • SZA2%
  • Travis Scott2%
  • Backstreet Boys2%
  • Elton John2%
  • Pink2%
  • Pearl Jam2%
  • Chris Brown2%
  • Christina Aguilera2%
  • Doja Cat2%
  • Megan Thee Stallion2%
  • Ice Spice2%
  • Cynthia Erivo2%
  • Tyler, The Creator2%
  • Drake2%
  • Billie Eilish2%
  • Foo Fighters2%
  • Lil Baby2%
  • Chappell Roan2%
  • Post Malone2%
  • Dua Lipa2%
  • Metallica2%
  • Sabrina Carpenter2%
  • Karol G2%
  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Cardi B2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Ella Langley2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
  • Madonna1%
KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $14.4K today

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

69%Rihanna
  • Rihanna69%▲ 14
  • The Weeknd28%▼ 11
  • Bruno Mars1%
11 more
  • Justin Bieber<1%
  • Michael Jackson<1%
  • Bad Bunny<1%
  • Shakira<1%
  • Taylor Swift<1%
  • Drake<1%
  • Billie Eilish<1%
  • Lady Gaga<1%
  • Ariana Grande<1%
  • Ed Sheeran<1%
  • Coldplay<1%

Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

100%Choosin' Texas
  • Choosin' Texas100%▲ 1
  • Been By Now100%▲ 1
  • Boston99%▲ 19
15 more
  • Patient Zero98%▲ 11
  • BbY WOW90%▲ 10
  • stupid song89%▼ 9
  • Nicole Kidman89%▼ 10
  • hate that i made you love me48%▲ 42
  • I Just Might20%▲ 18
  • Earrings19%
  • Babydoll14%▼ 35
  • Risk It All12%▲ 6
  • Quebec6%
  • Midnight Sun6%
  • Solar Eclipse1%
  • BE HER1%▼ 12
  • LAST THING YOU NEED1%▼ 4
  • LOVING LIFE AGAIN1%▼ 5
KalshiCloses Sun 11:59 PM ET · $5.8K today

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

100%Rauw Alejandro
  • Rauw Alejandro100%
  • SZA100%
  • PinkPantheress100%
127 more
  • Cardi B100%
  • Young Thug78%▲ 8
  • Dua Lipa76%▲ 8
  • Don Toliver73%▼ 2
  • J Balvin71%
  • Kodak Black71%▲ 1
  • Ice Spice66%▲ 34
  • Lil Uzi Vert57%▲ 23
  • Kali Uchis56%▼ 10
  • Lana Del Rey56%▼ 13
  • Sabrina Carpenter55%▲ 38
  • 21 Savage51%▼ 7
  • Bad Bunny50%▲ 3
  • Ella Langley43%▲ 2
  • Anuel AA41%▲ 9
  • KAROL G39%▲ 5
  • Charli xcx38%
  • Doechii38%▲ 3
  • T-Pain38%▲ 5
  • Lil Wayne37%▼ 2
  • Megan Thee Stallion36%▼ 1
  • The Weeknd35%▲ 2
  • Tyler, The Creator33%▼ 5
  • Bruno Mars33%▼ 4
  • Lil Yachty32%▲ 15
  • Drake28%
  • Sexyy Red28%
  • ROSALÍA27%▼ 6
  • Tyla27%▼ 4
  • JAY-Z27%▼ 3
  • Justin Bieber24%
  • Eminem24%▼ 13
  • Ozuna24%▼ 3
  • The Kid LAROI24%▲ 1
  • Nicki Minaj22%▼ 2
  • Lil Baby22%▼ 7
  • Shaboozey22%▼ 7
  • Billie Eilish21%▼ 3
  • Post Malone21%▼ 6
  • Kanye West / Ye21%▼ 3
  • Kendrick Lamar20%▼ 2
  • Jason Derulo20%▲ 3
  • Leon Thomas20%▲ 10
  • Chris Brown19%▲ 2
  • Offset18%▲ 1
  • The Marías18%▼ 3
  • 2 Chainz17%▲ 1
  • Doja Cat17%▼ 3
  • Zach Bryan17%▼ 7
  • Kid Cudi17%▲ 1
  • Lil Nas X17%▼ 3
  • Miley Cyrus16%▼ 2
  • Khalid16%▼ 2
  • Quavo16%▲ 2
  • Logic16%▼ 2
  • Lola Young16%▲ 9
  • Luke Combs14%▼ 4
  • Bryson Tiller14%▼ 2
  • mgk14%
  • Ariana Grande14%▲ 1
KalshiCloses Dec 30 · $5.3K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.